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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 2,029.07, below the 200 EMA (2,032), and below the 21 SMA located at 2,044. In the H4 chart, we can see that gold is trading within a downtrend channel forming since December 22. In the next few hours, the price is likely to continue declining only if it consolidates below the daily pivot point located at 2,035.
Gold is under downward pressure. Since January 10, gold has tried to break the 6/8 Murray (2,062), the level that coincided with the top of the downtrend channel, and could not break it. Since then, we observed a strong downward acceleration. XAU could likely fall and consolidate around the low of January 10 at 2,013. If bearish strength prevails it could reach 4/8 Murray around the psychological level of $2,000.
Gold has strong support around 2,022. Yesterday during the American session, it reached this area and since then had a technical rebound. If gold falls towards this level in the next few hours and proves that this weekly support is strong, it could offer a technical rebound and reach the pivot point area in 2,035.
In case gold recovers and consolidates above the 200 EMA located at 2,032 and above 2,035, it could be seen as an opportunity to buy with targets at 2,044 and at the top of the downtrend channel around 2,050.
On the other hand, in case the technical rebound is not so strong and gold finds resistance around 2,035, it will be seen as an opportunity to sell with targets at 2,023, 2,013 and at the psychological level of $2,000.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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