empty
bd
অনুসন্ধান
Support
Instant account opening
Trading Platform
Deposit/Withdraw
অনুসন্ধান
নতুনদের জন্য ট্রেডারদের জন্য পার্টনারদের জন্য বিরতি নিন About InstaSpot
bd
For Traders
ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ
Fundamental analysis

11.11.202407:11 ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ এবং পর্যালোচনা: EUR/USD Weekly Preview: A Marathon of Inflation Reports Ahead

Following the "election week" in the U.S., it is a "week of inflation reports." Key indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Import Price Index, and Retail Sales data will provide insights into consumer demand.

These releases can heavily influence the U.S. dollar, especially since the initial excitement surrounding Donald Trump's election victory has already subsided. The future head of the White House will still excite the markets with his statements, but the initial wow effect has exhausted itself. Traders will gradually shift their focus to "classic" fundamental factors, where inflation is critical. These reports will be viewed through the lens of the November Federal Reserve meeting, during which Jerome Powell mentioned the possibility of a pause in rate cuts if macroeconomic conditions warrant it. October's CPI and PPI figures could be decisive in shaping expectations for the Fed's December meeting.

Exchange Rates 11.11.2024 analysis

The EUR/USD monthly chart shows that the pair has been steadily declining since early October. After reaching its 2024 high of 1.1214 in September, the euro has faced consistent selling pressure for six consecutive weeks, recently testing the 1.06 range. The next immediate target is 1.0670 (the lower Bollinger Band line on the D1 time frame), with a primary target at 1.0550 (the lower Bollinger Band line on the MN time frame). If traders consolidate within the 1.06 range, reaching 1.0550 may only be a matter of time. However, a catalyst—an informational impulse—is needed to strengthen bearish momentum. Inflation data could serve as this driving force.

So, the "inflation report marathon" will begin on Wednesday, November 13. On this day, the U.S. will release one of its key inflation indicators, the CPI. Projections suggest the headline CPI will remain at September's level of 2.4% YoY, while the core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to hold steady at 3.3% YoY.

Stagnation in the CPI could signal concerns for the Fed. If inflation unexpectedly accelerates, the likelihood of a rate-cut pause in December will increase significantly.

The US will publish the PPI on November 14, another important inflation measure that may provoke increased volatility among dollar pairs. Analysts forecast an uptick in annual PPI growth to 2.2% YoY from September's 1.8%. This acceleration would mark a reversal from the previous three months of declines. The core PPI in October should remain at the September level. Most analysts say the indicator will come out at 2.8% y/y.

The Import Price Index, published on Friday, November 15, is of secondary importance but can complement the broader inflation picture. According to forecasts, Import Prices will demonstrate an upward trend in annual terms, reaching the 0.2% mark after two months of decline (in September, the indicator was in the negative zone, at -0.1%).

Preliminary projections indicate that inflation indicators will either stagnate or accelerate, supporting the greenback. If key releases such as the CPI and PPI exceed expectations, another dollar rally may be on the horizon.

Retail Sales data for October, also set for release on Friday, could bolster the dollar if results exceed forecasts. Analysts anticipate a 0.3% increase in overall sales and a 0.2% rise excluding transportation.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a December rate-cut pause currently stands at 36%. Should inflation show signs of acceleration, this probability could climb to 50-60% by week's end. Core inflation rose in September, strengthening the dollar before the U.S. presidential elections. If October data confirm growth in both core and headline CPI and PPI, demand for the dollar will likely surge again.

On the H4, D1, and W1 time frames, EUR/USD trades either along the lower Bollinger Band or between the middle and lower bands, remaining below all Ichimoku indicator lines, including the Kumo cloud. The first bearish target is 1.0670 (the lower Bollinger Band on W1). Breaking below this level will pave the way toward the 1.06 range and, eventually, the primary target of 1.0550 (lower Bollinger Band on the MN time frame).

*এখানে পোস্ট করা মার্কেট বিশ্লেষণ আপনার সচেতনতা বৃদ্ধির জন্য প্রদান করা হয়, ট্রেড করার নির্দেশনা প্রদানের জন্য প্রদান করা হয় না।

Irina Manzenko,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
বিশ্লেষকদের পরামর্শসমূহের উপকারিতা এখনি গ্রহণ করুন
ট্রেডিং অ্যাকাউন্টে অর্থ জমা করুন
ট্রেডিং অ্যাকাউন্ট খুলুন

ইন্সটাফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণমূলক পর্যালোচনাগুলো আপনাকে মার্কেট প্রবণতা সম্পর্কে পুরোপুরি সচেতন করবে! ইন্সটাফরেক্সের একজন গ্রাহক হওয়ায়, দক্ষ ট্রেডিং এর জন্য আপনাকে অনেক সেবা বিনামূল্যে প্রদান করা হয়।

আরও দেখুন

ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ এবং পর্যালোচনা
সব বিশ্লেষণ
Stock Markets
Hot forecast
Trading plan
Crypto-currencies
Trend line
Video analytics
Instrument:
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDCHF
USDCAD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
GBPJPY
EURGBP
EURJPY
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Silver
Gold
#USDX
COVID-19
Bitcoin
ফটোনিউজ
সব ফটোনিউজ

ফরেক্স নিউজ
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    FTSE 100 Rises for 4th Session
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Moldova Trade Gap Hits Fresh All-Time High
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Auto Tariff Relief Lifts DAX
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Auto Surge Drives European Stocks Higher
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovakia Inflation Picks Up to 15-Month High
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Romanian Industrial Output Returns to Fall
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Core CPI Inches Up to 3.0% in March, Marking a Continued Climb
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Core CPI Declines to 0.3% in March, Continues Downward Trend
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Inflation Slows Slightly in March, Witnessing a 0.1% Drop in CPI Month-Over-Month
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovakia Experiences Slight Inflation Uptick in March: CPI at 4.0%
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    US Futures Little Changed
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Botswana's Inflation Slows: CPI Eases to 0.2% in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Botswana's Consumer Price Index Inches Up to 2.8% in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Brazil's IGP-10 Inflation Index Slips into Negative in April
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Euro Zone's Reserve Assets Climb by €32.5 Billion in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's Trade Deficit Widens to $21.54 Billion in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's March Import Surge: A 24.6% Increase Shakes Economic Landscape
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's Export Boom: A Soaring $41.97 Billion Achievement in March 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    US 10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Up
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Indian Inflation Falls to Over 5-Year Low
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's CPI Eases to 3.34% in March, Signaling Slowing Inflationary Pressures
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Irish Trade Surplus Doubles in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Sensex Ends on Strong Note
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Oil Falls on Demand Worries
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Germany's 5-Year Bobl Auction Yields Dip, Indicating Investor Confidence
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    South Africa Mining Output Falls the Most in Over 2 Years
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    South Africa's Mining Production Plummets to a Disheartening -9.6% in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    South African Gold Production Slides 7.6% Amidst Economic Challenges
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India Trade Deficit Widens in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Bulgaria Current Account Shifts to Deficit
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Croatia Inflation Rate Confirmed at 3.2%
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    German Investor Sentiment Plunges on Tariffs
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Eurozone Industrial Output Growth Beats Expectations
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Eurozone Investor Morale Lowest since 2022
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Iron Ore Rebounds from 6-Month Low
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    UK Treasury Gilt Auction Sees Slight Decline in Yields
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Euro Zone ZEW Economic Sentiment Dives Into Negative Territory In April
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Euro Zone Industrial Production Rebounds in February with 1.2% Growth
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    German Economic Sentiment Surges in April: ZEW Conditions Indicator Shows Positive Shift
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Euro Zone Industrial Production Shows Promising Growth in February
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    German Economic Optimism Dips as ZEW Index Plummets to -14.0 in April
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Poland Inflation Rate Confirmed at 4.9%
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Hang Seng Rises for 6th Session
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Turkey's Budget Deficit Narrows in March: A Sign of Financial Resilience?
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Poland's CPI Remains Unchanged at 4.9% Year-Over-Year for March 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Poland Records a Decline in Consumer Price Index Growth in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    UK 10-Year Gilt Yield Eases after Jobs, Wage Data
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    US Futures Point to Gain at the Open
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Italian Stocks Rise for 2nd Day
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Sterling Strengthens to 6-Month High
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    FTSE 100 Rises for 4th Session
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Moldova Trade Gap Hits Fresh All-Time High
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Auto Tariff Relief Lifts DAX
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Auto Surge Drives European Stocks Higher
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovakia Inflation Picks Up to 15-Month High
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Romanian Industrial Output Returns to Fall
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Core CPI Inches Up to 3.0% in March, Marking a Continued Climb
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Core CPI Declines to 0.3% in March, Continues Downward Trend
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovak Inflation Slows Slightly in March, Witnessing a 0.1% Drop in CPI Month-Over-Month
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Slovakia Experiences Slight Inflation Uptick in March: CPI at 4.0%
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-04-15 14:19:07
    US Futures Little Changed
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Botswana's Inflation Slows: CPI Eases to 0.2% in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Botswana's Consumer Price Index Inches Up to 2.8% in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Brazil's IGP-10 Inflation Index Slips into Negative in April
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Euro Zone's Reserve Assets Climb by €32.5 Billion in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's Trade Deficit Widens to $21.54 Billion in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's March Import Surge: A 24.6% Increase Shakes Economic Landscape
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    India's Export Boom: A Soaring $41.97 Billion Achievement in March 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    US 10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Up
    কুইক শো
    2025-04-15 14:19:07
    Indian Inflation Falls to Over 5-Year Low
    কুইক শো
কোম্পানি সংবাদ
সব খবর
InstaForex – Prime Sponsor of Traders Fair Lagos 2025!

InstaForex – Prime Sponsor of Traders Fair Lagos 2025!

InstaForex is proud to announce its participation in Traders Fair Lagos 2025 – one of the biggest financial events in Africa. As the Prime Sponsor, we warmly invite all traders, investors, and partners to visit our booth for unique opportunities, exclusive bonuses, and expert consultations. Why you can’t miss this event Traders Fair Lagos 2025 is not just an exhibition. It is a global platform to connect with leading financial experts. This event brings together traders, brokers, analysts, and investors from all over the world to explore trends, strategies, and technologies shaping the future of financial markets.

Show more
Caricatures
All caricatures
এখন কথা বলতে পারবেন না?
আপনার প্রশ্ন জিজ্ঞাসা করুন চ্যাট.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.