empty
bd
অনুসন্ধান
Support
Instant account opening
Trading Platform
Deposit/Withdraw
অনুসন্ধান
নতুনদের জন্য ট্রেডারদের জন্য পার্টনারদের জন্য বিরতি নিন About InstaSpot
bd
For Traders
ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ
News

21.03.202514:11 ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ এবং পর্যালোচনা: Fed's actions to keep BTC from falling? BTC seeks stability

Exchange Rates 21.03.2025 analysis

Some analysts believe that the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy—particularly its decision to hold interest rates steady and slow down quantitative tightening (QT)—could provide meaningful support for Bitcoin. According to this view, the world's largest cryptocurrency no longer needs to fear hitting rock bottom. But not everyone agrees with that assessment.

On Wednesday, March 19, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, citing ongoing economic uncertainty. The news sparked a slight uptick across major crypto markets.

However, following the decision, Bitcoin slipped 1.8% to $84,400. By Friday, March 21, BTC was trading at $84,150, remaining within a tight range.

Fed holds rates, hints at cuts – what does it mean for markets?

While many market participants anticipated the Fed's decision, hopes were high for a more dovish tone and rate cuts beginning in 2025. In its statement, the Fed suggested it expects to lower rates twice by the end of the year.

The Fed emphasized in its statement:

  • The US economy continues to grow.
  • Unemployment remains low and stable.
  • Inflation is still moderately high.
  • The monthly cap on Treasury redemptions will be lowered from $25 billion to $5 billion.
  • The cap on mortgage-backed securities will remain at $35 billion.

However, the Fed also noted that uncertainty in the economic outlook had increased, prompting it to monitor risks closely. Starting in April, the Fed will ease the pace of balance sheet reduction:

  • The monthly cap on Treasury redemptions will be lowered from $25 billion to $5 billion.
  • The cap on mortgage-backed securities will remain at $35 billion.

This effectively softens QT and signals a possible shift toward more accommodative policy. Analysts now widely expect two rate cuts by year-end.

Exchange Rates 21.03.2025 analysis

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, argues that a slowdown in QT will support Bitcoin. With the Fed scaling back Treasury runoff starting in April, Hayes believes that QT is essentially over, a move that could ease liquidity pressures and benefit risky assets, including crypto.

However, Benjamin Cowen, CEO of ITC Crypto, disagrees. He contends that QT isn't over in principle and that the Fed is merely slowing the pace of liquidity withdrawal—from $60 billion to $40 billion per month.

How are markets reacting?

Even though rates remained unchanged, expectations for cuts have risen. Analysts now see a 16% chance of a rate cut in May and more than 50% in June.

The S&P 500, however, continues to face headwinds amid ongoing trade tensions. Nick Pakrin, an analyst at The Coin Bureau, noted that investors were hoping for a more accommodative policy, although the Federal Reserve did not appear to be in a hurry to restart its monetary stimulus measures.

Experts point out that the Fed typically refrains from aggressive stimulus until rates approach zero. For now, any increase in global liquidity may come more from China and Europe than the US.

Trump pressures the Fed; Powell stays the course

President Donald Trump has spent months pressuring Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates, but Powell has held firm.

Nathan Cox, CIO at Two Prime Digital Assets, said that while Trump's trade wars were contributing to inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve remained focused on macroeconomic data rather than political noise coming from the White House.

Should the Fed commit to easing, crypto markets could respond swiftly. "Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by the end of 2025," research firm Bernstein predicts. "But if economic instability worsens, that rally could be delayed until 2026."

Exchange Rates 21.03.2025 analysis

According to data from crypto analytics firm CryptoQuant, sentiment in the Bitcoin market has dropped to levels not seen since January 2023. The company's Bitcoin Bullish Sentiment Index fell to just 20 points—the lowest reading in two years and well below the threshold needed to sustain upward momentum.

CryptoQuant warned that the deteriorating macroeconomic and cryptocurrency environment was lowering the chances of a sustained Bitcoin rally in the near future.

Historically, Bitcoin has needed a sentiment score above 60 to support major price increases. Prolonged periods below 40 have typically aligned with bear markets. If the index remains under 40 for an extended time, it could signal a deeper downturn.

Survey data from forecasting network MYRIAD suggests that 68% of respondents expect Bitcoin to stay above $83,000 through next week—but anticipate a pullback afterward.

Larisa Kolesnikova,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
বিশ্লেষকদের পরামর্শসমূহের উপকারিতা এখনি গ্রহণ করুন
ট্রেডিং অ্যাকাউন্টে অর্থ জমা করুন
ট্রেডিং অ্যাকাউন্ট খুলুন

ইন্সটাফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণমূলক পর্যালোচনাগুলো আপনাকে মার্কেট প্রবণতা সম্পর্কে পুরোপুরি সচেতন করবে! ইন্সটাফরেক্সের একজন গ্রাহক হওয়ায়, দক্ষ ট্রেডিং এর জন্য আপনাকে অনেক সেবা বিনামূল্যে প্রদান করা হয়।

আরও দেখুন

ফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণ এবং পর্যালোচনা
সব বিশ্লেষণ
Stock Markets
Hot forecast
Trading plan
Crypto-currencies
Trend line
Video analytics
Instrument:
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDCHF
USDCAD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
GBPJPY
EURGBP
EURJPY
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Silver
Gold
#USDX
COVID-19
Bitcoin
ফটোনিউজ
সব ফটোনিউজ

ফরেক্স নিউজ
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden’s Trade Surplus Expands in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Hang Seng Closes 0.6% Higher
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain Q4 GDP Growth Rate Confirmed at 0.8%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden Consumer Confidence at 11-Month Low
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    British Pound Weakens Slightly After Inflation
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Manufacturing Confidence Sees Uptick in March 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Business Confidence Slips Below 100 Mark in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Consumer Confidence Dips in March to 89.8 Amid Economic Uncertainties
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain's GDP Growth Slows Slightly in Fourth Quarter of 2024
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain's Economic Stability: GDP Growth Remains Steady at 0.8% in Q4 2024
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rise to 4-Week High
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Canada Wholesale Sales Seen Rising in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise, Core Orders Drop
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Canada's Wholesale Sales Decline in February: Growth Slows to 0.4%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Non-Defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding Aircraft Drop by 0.3% in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Durables Excluding Defense Show Dramatic Decline in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Durable Goods Orders Suffer Significant Slowdown in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Core Durable Goods Orders Surge in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Brazil's Current Account Gap Widens, Still Below Forecast
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Joblessness in France at 2021-Highs
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Futures Waver
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sensex Ends Lower
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Brazil Sees Robust Increase in Foreign Direct Investment in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Brazil's Current Account Deficit Worsens Slightly in February 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Job Market Concerns as France's Unemployment Figures Rise in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Mortgage Rates Edge Down: MBA
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Mortgage Applications Fall for 2nd Week
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Netherlands Current Account Surplus Widens in Q4
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Mortgage Refinance Index Dips as Interest Rates Hold Tight
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Mortgage Market Index Experiences Slight Decline in March 2025
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Mortgage Applications Show Modest Growth as MBA Purchase Index Inches Upward
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate Experiences Slight Decline to 6.71%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Show Signs of Rebound with Recent Data
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Israel's Industrial Output Plummets: Shocking 3.0% Decline in January
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Russian Ruble Strengthens on News of Black Sea Ceasefire Agreement
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Italy's 2-Year Bonds Hold Steady: CTZ Auction Yields Unchanged
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Swiss Investor Sentiment Drops in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    UK House Price Index Shows Steady Year-Over-Year Increase to 4.9%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Natgas Prices Edge Up from 3-Week Low
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Macau Trade Deficit Widens Slightly
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Iceland Unemployment Rate Highest Since 2021
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Italian Stocks Decline
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Swiss ZEW Expectations Sink as Economic Pessimism Grows
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    DAX on Cautious Note
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    UK Stocks Trade Higher with CPI, Spring Statement Eyed
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    UK 10-Year Gilt Yield Falls from 10-Week High After Soft CPI Data
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    European Stocks Lack Directon
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden Economic Tendency Indicator Drops to 5-Month Low
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Egypt GDP Growth Hits Over 2-Year High
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden Business Confidence Hits 3-Month Low
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden’s Trade Surplus Expands in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Hang Seng Closes 0.6% Higher
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain Q4 GDP Growth Rate Confirmed at 0.8%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden Consumer Confidence at 11-Month Low
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    British Pound Weakens Slightly After Inflation
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Manufacturing Confidence Sees Uptick in March 2025
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Business Confidence Slips Below 100 Mark in March
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Sweden's Consumer Confidence Dips in March to 89.8 Amid Economic Uncertainties
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain's GDP Growth Slows Slightly in Fourth Quarter of 2024
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Spain's Economic Stability: GDP Growth Remains Steady at 0.8% in Q4 2024
    কুইক শো
  • 2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rise to 4-Week High
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Canada Wholesale Sales Seen Rising in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise, Core Orders Drop
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Canada's Wholesale Sales Decline in February: Growth Slows to 0.4%
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Non-Defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding Aircraft Drop by 0.3% in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Durables Excluding Defense Show Dramatic Decline in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    U.S. Durable Goods Orders Suffer Significant Slowdown in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    US Core Durable Goods Orders Surge in February
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Brazil's Current Account Gap Widens, Still Below Forecast
    কুইক শো
    2025-03-26 15:06:34
    Joblessness in France at 2021-Highs
    কুইক শো
কোম্পানি সংবাদ
সব খবর
Spring brings luck! Win $8,000 with InstaForex!

Spring brings luck! Win $8,000 with InstaForex!

International Women's Day is a time for gifts, spring, and new opportunities! As the most vibrant holiday of the year approaches, InstaForex is launching its traditional Chancy Deposit contest! You have a unique chance to win $8,000 and make this holiday truly unforgettable! How to participate? It's simple: Fund your InstaForex trading account Wait for the winner to be announced What to do with your prize money? Anything you want: dream shopping, an unforgettable trip, or new, more profitable investments. The money is in your hands! Hurry, the campaign is time-limited! Top up your account and join the race for $8,000 today. Who knows, this could be your lucky day. Register.

Show more
Caricatures
All caricatures
এখন কথা বলতে পারবেন না?
আপনার প্রশ্ন জিজ্ঞাসা করুন চ্যাট.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.