ব্যঙ্গাত্মক বর্ণনা এবং ফরেক্সের প্রবেশদ্বার বিন্যাস
BofA: USD to remain leader in 2025
The forex market in 2025 is expected to be dominated by bearish sentiment, especially concerning the euro and the Swiss franc. However, the outlook for the US dollar is quite different.
Earlier, analysts at Bank of America held a bearish view on the dollar. Such a prediction was made at the end of 2024. Now, the consensus has shifted towards a bullish position.
Bank of America has revised its long-term forecasts for the greenback. Experts now anticipate stronger USD performance extending through the end of 2025. This updated outlook emerged following the US elections, which caused a shift in consensus among currency analysts.
The median consensus forecast for the euro/dollar pair now predicts a slight increase to 1.0500 by the end of 2025. This is in contrast to the 12-month forward average for EUR/USD of 1.0679 recorded last month.
As for the dollar/franc pair, no significant changes are expected. Analysts foresee consolidation around the 0.9000 level throughout 2025. Previously, 12-month forward rates for buying USD/CHF hovered near 0.8560.
This outlook revision is tied to narratives surrounding the US elections. Earlier, Bank of America suggested that the euro/dollar pair could reach parity if Republicans in the event of a Republican victory. The bank cites historical patterns to support its view. Thus, during Donald Trump’s first presidency, the EUR/USD three-month risk reversal peaked in February 2017.
According to analysts, current market conditions favor a continued dollar rally in 2025. Bank of America’s currency strategists recommend hedging risks at current price levels to prepare for a potential greenback rally.
প্রকাশিত 15 January 2025
© InstaFintech Group
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© InstaFintech Group
