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25.01.202114:19 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 欧元兑美元再次下跌

欧元兑美元在1.2153下跌,抹去了早盘的涨幅。USDX的反弹在短期内压低了该货币对。从根本上说,由于美国制造业和服务业数据好于预期,美元可能会对其竞争对手升值。

制造业采购经理人指数预览值从57.1升至59.1,高于预期的56.6;服务业采购经理人指数预览值从54.8跳升至57.5,尽管专家预期会降至53.3。

在周三FOMC会议之前,美元可能小幅走高。美联储预计将在今年的第一次会议上保持其货币政策不变。

欧元兑美元的反弹似乎结束了!

Exchange Rates 25.01.2021 analysis

欧元兑美元在H4图表上已经印出一个看跌的吞噬模式。新的看跌蜡烛可能会证实这一模式,并可能暗示短期内会进一步下跌。上周我曾说过,这对组合在最后几次尝试都没有击中上升的干草叉的中线(lml)后,预计将会回落。

价格在23.6%的水平被拒绝了,所以下跌并稳定在支点(1.2137)和中间线(ML)以下的小下降的pitchfork可能会吸引更多的卖家。

技术上讲,一个更大的下跌,即修正,将被一个新的低点,即低于38.2%的回调水平的下跌激活并确认。

预测和建议!

从之前的低点1.2053下方,抛售可能再次出现。看跌收盘低于该水平意味着进一步跌向1.19这个水平。只要价格保持在1.22心理水平以下,看跌压力就会居高不下。

从技术上讲,一个更大的修正阶段只有在下降的pitchfork的上中线(UML)以上的上突破时才会失效。欧元兑美元的交易远低于这个上行障碍,这就是为什么现在下行运动是有利的。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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