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07.02.201906:14 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 澳大利亚和新西兰元将在年底前上涨:路透调查

Long-term review

Exchange Rates 07.02.2019 analysis

澳大利亚和新西兰元将在未来几个月更具可持续性,因为美联储表示更加谨慎的政策,尽管增长将受到全球经济不确定性的限制。 46位分析师参加的路透调查显示,澳大利亚未来三个月的平均预测仍为0.72美元,六个月的预测略微上调至0.73美元。

Exchange Rates 07.02.2019 analysis

该调查是在澳大利亚货币再次面临下行压力的背景下进行的,该货币在2018年下跌了近10%,并在周三该国央行选择中立仓位时达到了一周低点。 疲软的经济数据导致投资者预计到年底将降息近60%。 到2020年中期,预计将下降25个基点,这与几个月前投资者已准备好加息的情况相比发生了重大变化。 但考虑到最近铁矿石,基本金属,石油和黄金的价格上涨,即使将利率降低50个基点也不大可能导致澳元跌至0.70美元以下。 澳元兑美元汇率将在0.70-0.75美元区间内交易很长时间。

Exchange Rates 07.02.2019 analysis

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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