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23.02.202210:28 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 随着俄罗斯和乌克兰冲突升级,比特币可能暴跌至1.8万美元

Exchange Rates 23.02.2022 analysis

随着俄罗斯和乌克兰冲突的升级,以及俄罗斯联邦军队进入DNR和LNR,比特币可能会回落到1.8万美元。加密市场和股票市场对昨日冲突的升级反应强烈,并开始下跌。

比特币和许多其他替代币在过去24小时内开始全面下跌,数字黄金跌至37000美元的支撑位以下。

一夜之间,整个加密市场的总市值损失超过1000亿美元,跌幅约为6%。世界各国领导人对日益加剧的冲突持非常消极的看法,并已经准备了一揽子制裁措施。

加密市场存在恐慌,但许多加密热衷者支持乌克兰,并表示期待已久的全面熊市终于到来。

他们认为,现在比特币可能会下跌一半,对于那些没有及时购买比特币的人来说,这将是一个理想的切入点。

"黑天鹅理论"的作者纳西姆•塔勒布(Nassim Taleb)将冲突升级的情况比作古老的谚语"汉尼拔在城门"(Hannibal at The Gates),这句谚语让敌人感到恐惧。在这种情况下,这句格言适用于加密货币市场和股票市场。

塔勒布认为,在这种特殊的情况下,比特币是一个主要对冲资产和安全港的反面。不幸的是,加密货币市场将继续对乌克兰不断升级的地缘政治局势做出非常尖锐的反应。

以太坊创始人Vitalik Buterin也呼吁各国保持和平,不支持冲突升级。布特林认为,一场迫在眉睫的冲突可能对两国和整个人类造成无法估量的损害。

许多稳定币和替代币的价格可能会大幅下跌,而新的加密货币将会淡出人们的视线,停止上涨。比特币目前的交易价格为37800美元。

然而,许多分析人士相信,这只是下行反弹的开始,通胀上升、一场可能的全面战争以及亚洲股市下跌将推动下行反弹。

ICB Fund投资部门主管亚伦•乔姆斯基(Aaron Chomsky)认为,比特币可能会跌至1.7万美元至1.8万美元的低位,并至少在这一水平上保持3年。对于那些还没来得及出手的人来说,这可能是最后一个理想的买入时机。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Vitaly Kolesnikov,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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