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概述:
英镑兑美元的汇率将继续从1.2377的水平上升。因此,支撑位被发现在1.2377的水平上,该水平代表了H1时间框架中23.6%的斐波那契回调水平。由于趋势位于23.6%的斐波那契水平之上,市场仍处于上涨趋势。
因此,英镑兑美元的汇率正在从新的1.2377的支撑位上持续上升趋势。当前价格位于1.2423的水平上,该水平被视为1.2434的日基准点。同样重要的是,价格在一个看涨通道内。
根据以往事件,我们预计英镑兑美元的汇率将在1.2495和1.2377之间波动。这将暗示市场看涨,因为RSI指标仍位于积极区域,并没有显示任何趋势逆转的迹象。
因此,在1.2377水平形成了强力支撑,提供了明确的买入信号,目标为1.2460。如果趋势突破了1.2460的阻力(第一个阻力),则该货币对将上升,继续发展看涨趋势,目标为1.2495,以测试每日第2阻力。
在同一时间框架内,阻力位于1.2495和1.2500水平。必须始终考虑止损,因此将止损设置在1.2326水平(低于支撑2)是合理的。
如果英镑兑美元的价格交易在1.2583以上,则实现上行目标的可能性较高,约在1.2783水平。GBP/USD货币对的基本看涨趋势非常强劲,但短期显示出一些势头放缓的迹象。尽管如此,只要价格保持在1.2461以上,仍可以考虑购买。
突破1.2583的第一道阻力将是价格潜在新高的迹象。买家将会把位于1.2583的下一个阻力作为目标。突破该阻力将使买家能够将目标锁定在1.2583。需要注意的是,如果回落至1.2583以下,将意味着短期基本趋势进入了巩固阶段。
如果情况如此,要记住逆势交易可能更具风险。似乎更合适的做法是等待逆转趋势的信号。尽管技术指标不明确,但目前的整体看涨情绪不受质疑。
鉴于所有因素明确表明市场看涨,只要价格保持在1.2461上方,交易者可以仅进行GBP/USD货币对的多头交易。突破此阻力将推动看涨势头。
買家可以進一步目標位於1.2583的阻力位置。這表明該貨幣對可能在未來幾個小時內上漲。如果趨勢能夠突破1.2583的阻力位(雙頂),那麼市場將呼籲迎來一個強勢看漲市場,本週的目標位將為1.2615。
值得注意的是,應該警惕可能導致短期調整的看漲過度;但是這種可能的調整不是可交易的。另一方面,如果逆轉發生並且GBP/USD貨幣對突破1.2432的支撐位,可能會進一步下降至1.2400。
這將表示一個看跌市場。信號:只要價格1.2585未被突破,趨勢仍然看漲。因此,明智的做法是在1.2585以上的價格買入,並將主要目標設定為1.2678。然後,GBP/USD貨幣對將繼續走向第二個目標位1.2718。如果1.2585被突破,該貨幣對將進一步下跌到1.2492。
*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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