empty
cn
搜索
支持
即时开户
交易平台
入金/出金
搜索
面向初学者 对于交易者 对于合作伙伴 休息一下 About InstaSpot
cn
For Traders
外汇市场分析
Fundamental analysis

21.08.202315:15 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 歐元需要時間

兄弟，力量何在？在于真理！而真理在于，美国经济看起来越强大，中期来看对美元越不利。美国人会消耗欧洲和中国的出口，并帮助全球经济恢复。这对于包括欧元在内的周期性货币来说是一个好消息。欧元兑美元将会上涨。我们只需要给这个主要货币对一些时间。

乍一看，美元支持者没有什么可担心的。亚特兰大联邦储备银行的领先指标预测美国第三季度的GDP增长率为5.8%。这是过去20年来最佳的经济增长，如果排除了疫后复苏期间。很可能这些数字意味着2024年对美国没有什么可担心的。但这并不应该让EUR/USD的“熊”们产生误解。

美国经济的动态

Exchange Rates 21.08.2023 analysis

今年8月，美元比预期更为稳定，其原因在于其主要竞争对手的疲弱。欧元区仍在衰退的边缘徘徊，而天然气价格上涨使得能源危机的幽灵再次在旧大陆上显现。中国或许是2023年最令人失望的国家。其经济复苏速度比预期要慢得多。此外，中国人民银行降息导致人民币贬值，并在中国政府内部引发了恐慌。

然而，这种情况并非持久。美国的力量将使美元区和中国重振雄风。此外，黄金头发女子的崛起将推动美国股市指数上涨，并提高全球风险偏好。

據國家經濟和商業專家協會近70%的受訪者表示，美聯儲成功將通脹率降至2%，而不引發經濟衰退。而在3月份，只有30%的受訪者這樣認為。四分之三的受訪者預計到年底，個人消費支出物價指數（PCE）將保持在約3%的水平。通脹放緩，加上經濟快速增長，對美國股市是有利的。而S&P 500指數的上升趨勢將是歐元兌美元升值的關鍵。

紐約美利達投資管理公司認為，歐洲央行將在9月份將存款利率上調至4%，可能在服務業黏性通脹和薪資快速增長的背景下，將其上調至4.25%。這與市場共識相悖。投資者認為貨幣政策收緊周期已經結束。如果這家公司是正確的，歐元兌美元匯率應該會上升。

美國和歐元區的利率、收益和通脹動態

Exchange Rates 21.08.2023 analysis
Exchange Rates 21.08.2023 analysis

因此，主要货币对恢复上升趋势的风险是相当大的。问题是需要多少时间？欧元将多快触底？杰罗姆·鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔可能会给出提示。

从技术上讲，EUR/USD的多头试图在公正价值范围的下限处打出一根纺锤线并发起反攻。在此过程中，如果该货币对上涨至1.091以上，可能成为短期多头的基础。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Marek Petkovich,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
立即从分析师的建议受益
充值交易账户
开设交易账户

InstaSpot分析评论将让您充分了解市场趋势！ 作为InstaSpot的客户，您将获得大量的免费服务以实现有效的交易。

See Also

Forex Analysis & Reviews
All analytics
Stock Markets
Hot forecast
Trading plan
Crypto-currencies
Trend line
Video analytics
Instrument:
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDCHF
USDCAD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
GBPJPY
EURGBP
EURJPY
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Silver
Gold
#USDX
COVID-19
Bitcoin
Photonews
All Photonews
Forex News
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    TSX Halts 3-Day Win Streak
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Declines in April, Current Conditions Index Drops to 59.8
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Expectations Hit New Low in April 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 4.4% in April
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. Inflation Expectations Rise Sharply in Michigan for April 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Declines: April's Numbers Reflect Economic Concerns
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Baltic Dry Index Rises for 3rd Day, Posts Weekly Gain
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Mexico Economic Activity Shrinks the Most in Nearly 1 Year
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Ibovespa Struggles for Direction
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Stocks Waver but Remain on Track for Weekly Gain
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Macau Jobless Rate Rises to 1.9% in Jan-March
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    China Industrial Profits Rise 0.8% in Q1
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Chinese Industrial Profits Rebound in March, Surpassing Expectations
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Ibovespa Edges Higher on Friday
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    TSX Edges Lower as Mining Stocks Drop
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Equities Rise as Alphabet, Tesla Boost Markets
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Oil Ends Week Lower Amid Supply Concerns, Trade Uncertainty
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Kiwi Dollar Speculative Net Positions Show Signs of Recovery as Traders Turn Bullish
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Bets on Yen Rise as Traders Eye Market Uncertainty
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Brazilian Real Speculative Net Positions Edge Higher to 49.9K
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Australian Dollar Bears Retreat Slightly as CFTC Positions Narrow
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Swiss Franc Speculative Positions Narrow in CFTC Report
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Mexican Peso Speculative Positions Surge to New Highs, Signaling Shifts in Market Sentiment
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Shift in Sentiment: Improvement in Canadian Dollar Speculative Positions
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Wheat Speculative Net Positions Decline in U.S. CFTC Update
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Interest in Soybeans Reaches New Heights Amid Market Optimism
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Silver Bets Marginally Increase Amid Market Uncertainties
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    S&P 500 Speculative Net Positions Dip Further in April, Reaching New Lows
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Bets on Natural Gas Show Decrease in Short Positions as Market Shifts
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Surge in Speculative Trading: Nasdaq 100 Positions Spike to New High
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. Gold Speculative Positions Decline: CFTC Reports Significant Drop
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Net Positions in Crude Oil Soar in the United States, Reaching New Highs
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Corn Speculative Positions Diminish in Latest CFTC Report
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Surge in Speculative Net Positions Signals Renewed Interest in Copper Market
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. CFTC Aluminum Speculative Net Positions Dip to 0.7K by Late April 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Euro Speculative Positions Take a Slide: A 4.3K Drop in CFTC EUR Net Positions
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    GBP Speculative Net Positions Surge as Investors Bet on UK's Economic Resilience
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Spain Consumer Confidence at 5-Month Low
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Week Ahead - Apr 28th
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Alphabet Lifts Nasdaq and S&P 500
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. Baker Hughes Rig Count Inches Up by Two, Reaching 587
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. Oil Rig Count Edges Up to 483, Indicates Slight Industry Recovery
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    DAX Rises for 4th Day, Books Weekly Gain
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    European Stocks Gain for 4th Day
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    UK Stocks Advance for 10th Day, Book Weekly Gain
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Canada Government Budget Gap Narrows in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Canada's Budget Surplus: A Remarkable Turnaround in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Canada's Budget Balance Sees Improvement in February 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Consumer Sentiment Revised Up, Holds at 2022-Lows
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Year-Ahead Inflation Revised Down, Still at 1981 Peak
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    TSX Halts 3-Day Win Streak
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Declines in April, Current Conditions Index Drops to 59.8
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Expectations Hit New Low in April 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 4.4% in April
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    U.S. Inflation Expectations Rise Sharply in Michigan for April 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Declines: April's Numbers Reflect Economic Concerns
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Baltic Dry Index Rises for 3rd Day, Posts Weekly Gain
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Mexico Economic Activity Shrinks the Most in Nearly 1 Year
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Ibovespa Struggles for Direction
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Stocks Waver but Remain on Track for Weekly Gain
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Macau Jobless Rate Rises to 1.9% in Jan-March
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    China Industrial Profits Rise 0.8% in Q1
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Chinese Industrial Profits Rebound in March, Surpassing Expectations
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Ibovespa Edges Higher on Friday
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    TSX Edges Lower as Mining Stocks Drop
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    US Equities Rise as Alphabet, Tesla Boost Markets
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Oil Ends Week Lower Amid Supply Concerns, Trade Uncertainty
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Kiwi Dollar Speculative Net Positions Show Signs of Recovery as Traders Turn Bullish
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Speculative Bets on Yen Rise as Traders Eye Market Uncertainty
    Quick show
    2025-04-27 07:26:42
    Brazilian Real Speculative Net Positions Edge Higher to 49.9K
    Quick show
Company News
All news
InstaForex at Traders Lagos Expo: High Interest and Well-Deserved Recognition

InstaForex at Traders Lagos Expo: High Interest and Well-Deserved Recognition

Traders Lagos Expo is one of the largest financial events in West Africa, bringing together over 2,000 participants interested in investments, brokerage services, and cutting-edge trading solutions. We’re proud to have been the main sponsor of the expo and to have taken an active part in it, presenting the InstaForex brand as a reliable and ambitious player on the global stage, while also building valuable connections and strengthening our presence in the regional market. The event kicked off with an opening speech by our company representative, setting a confident and business-focused tone for the entire expo. The speech emphasized InstaForex’s commitment to growth, innovation, and supporting both clients and partners.

Show more
Caricatures
All caricatures
现在无法通话？
提出您的问题，用 在线帮助.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.