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This week, the cryptocurrency Bitcoin experienced a sharp rise and surpassed the $45,256 level. It's worth noting that Bitcoin's quotes fluctuated between $40,746 and $45,256 for the past month. However, expectations related to the approval of applications for the launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs continue to drive the cryptocurrency upwards. In our view, Bitcoin has already appreciated significantly. We do not believe the cryptocurrency will reach $100,000 or $200,000 soon, but the market continues to buy coins, causing the price to rise. The next target is the $51,350 level.
We've previously mentioned that the cryptocurrency market is highly sensitive. A few years ago, any tweet from Elon Musk related to Bitcoin or Dogecoin would cause wild market fluctuations. This demonstrates how easily the market can be manipulated. Nowadays, Elon Musk no longer comments on various digital assets, but others have taken his place.
Almost all market participants believed that the SEC would eventually approve applications for introducing Bitcoin spot ETFs, with only a few doubters. However, just this month, there were two false reports. First, the Cointelegraph portal reported that the SEC had approved BlackRock's application. Later, BlackRock itself denied this information. Shortly after, Matrixport announced that all applications for spot instruments would be rejected, only to later describe the information as "hypothetical conclusions" rather than a factual "insider" statement. In each of these cases, the market reacted strongly.
Many traders rushed to buy and sell Bitcoin, with larger players profiting from the volatility. Even the well-known expert Michael van de Poppe tweeted that markets are easily manipulated. However, yesterday, on the official SEC website, information about the approval of applications for a spot Bitcoin ETF did appear, and just a few hours later, Gary Gensler announced a breach of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's website.
As a result, emotions surrounding the new investment instrument continue to run high, and the community continues to buy all available coins. Bitcoin could experience a correction soon, as the market has fully priced in the approval factor for spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, there are currently no signals for correction, so selling Bitcoin is not advisable.
On the 24-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has surpassed the $45,256 level. Thus, at the moment, buying remains the most logical and justified option, with targets set at $48,500 and $51,350. There are no sell signals or hints at selling at this time. We would only consider short positions after a bounce from any target level with the aim of the nearest lower level. However, the ascending trendline indicates a bullish sentiment's persistence, making purchases the preferable option for now.
*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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