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05.04.202409:22 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 黄金达到 $3,000 只是时间问题

Long-term review
Exchange Rates 05.04.2024 analysis

美國穩定通脹率和良好的經濟數據將迫使美國聯邦儲備系統在整個夏季繼續實施其積極的貨幣政策，但這並不會阻止貴金屬價格上漲。黃金價格上升至歷史高位與美聯儲降息的實際時間關係不大，而更多地與貨幣政策的整體方向相關。

美聯儲更有可能在六月降息，也更有可能在年底前再降息兩次。進一步的寬鬆將於2025年發生，為黃金創造積極條件。

盡管美聯儲可能的寬鬆政策引發了黃金價格最近的飆升，但還有其他重要因素，其中至少包括龐大的國債，為黃金提供了可靠的支撐，除了地緣政治。貴金屬市場的上漲不僅是一場投機狂潮，而更反映了基本經濟和地緣政治現實。

降息對黃金確實是積極的，但其作為替代貨幣的能力以及減少投資者風險的能力使該金屬特別具有吸引力。儘管黃金價格在現實中似乎過高，實際上只是美元貶值過多。

因此，達到每盎司3000美元的價格只是時間問題。

Exchange Rates 05.04.2024 analysis

金價確實已創下歷史新高，儘管主流投資者一直忽略這一貴金屬。下一個金價顯著上漲將在投資者最終轉向以黃金支持的交易所交易基金時出現。

許多投資者奇怪地仍在追逐科技公司股票的增長。如果美聯儲推遲潛在的寬鬆週期，將可能導致股市下跌，進而給予黃金作為避險資產新的動力。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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