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19.03.202507:48 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 市場恐慌:納斯達克指數重挫1.71%,黃金創歷史新高

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

美國市場下滑,投資者等待聯邦儲備局的決定

美國股市週二收低,結束了兩天的反彈。投資者選擇採取觀望態度,等待聯邦儲備局即將公佈的貨幣政策決定及川普政府貿易策略的可能影響。

聯邦儲備局會議前的預期

週三,聯邦儲備局將公佈其最新聲明,分析師認為利率將保持不變。監管機構還將提供更新版的經濟預測(SEP),這可能會對貨幣政策的下一步行動提供指引。

目前,市場正在預期全年削減60個基點的利率。然而,聯邦儲備局本身並不急於做出激進的決定。多名機構官員警告稱,監管機構將在採取任何行動之前,評估關稅措施對經濟的影響。

主要指數進入紅色區域

美國主要股指受到重大壓力:

  • 道瓊斯工業平均指數下跌260.32點(0.62%),收於41,581.31點;
  • S&P 500指數下跌60.46點(1.07%),跌至5,614.66點;
  • 納斯達克綜合指數下跌幅度最大,下降304.55點(1.71%),至17,504.12點。

通脹風險:進口價格意外攀升

意外的通脹統計數據加重了市場壓力。2月份,美國進口商品價格顯示增長,這與消費品成本上升有關。這一因素可能增加投資者對通脹壓力和聯邦儲備局下一步行動的擔憂。

市場繼續在降息預期和價格上升恐懼之間掙扎,這使得未來的交易動態不穩定。

市場試圖穩定,但壓力仍在

在長期下跌後,S&P 500及納斯達克自近期高點下跌超過10%,美國股指顯示出企圖穩定的跡象。然而,市場的不確定性仍然存在,投資者依舊謹慎。

道瓊斯接近調整區

道瓊斯工業平均指數距調整水平僅2%,顯示出對美國最大公司的股票仍然承受持續壓力。

科技和成長股受到了最大的打擊。S&P 500(.IGX)在交易時段下跌2.2%,而通信服務板塊(.SPLRCL)則是表現墊底的板塊之一,下跌2.14%。

Alphabet歷史最大交易;投資者反應股價下跌

大型交易並不總能激勵投資者。Alphabet(GOOGL.O)宣佈以320億美元收購網絡安全公司Wiz後,其股價下跌2.2%。該筆交易是公司歷史上最大的一筆,但市場參與者對此評價不一,擔心超額開支和可能的整合風險。

市場評估CEO言論,Nvidia下滑

領先的AI晶片製造商Nvidia(NVDA.O)股價下跌3.35%。CEO黃仁勳試圖安撫投資者,表示Nvidia已準備好應對行業的動態變化,特別是從訓練AI模型到實際使用的公司轉型。然而,市場對此言論持謹慎態度。

Tesla股價暴跌因預期惡化

Tesla (TSLA.O) 的情況最糟,其股價在RBC分析師下調公司的預測後下跌了5.34%。經紀商將汽車製造商的目標股價從320美元下調至120美元,理由是對於自駕技術和機器人計程車市場份額的期望下降。

Tesla的市值在本年度已下降近45%,這加劇了投資者對公司股價進一步下跌的擔憂。

市場持續壓力下運行

儘管試圖穩定,美國股指仍然承受壓力。投資者密切關注經濟數據、公司新聞和聯邦儲備局的決策,這可能決定市場未來的動態。

黃金在全球不穩定中創歷史新高

隨著中東地緣政治緊張局勢升溫及貿易的不確定性,週三黃金價格創下歷史新高,這使得這一貴重金屬對投資者尤為具有吸引力。美國聯邦儲備局貨幣政策決定的預期也提供了支持。

黃金創下新高

格林威治標準時間04:15,現貨黃金報每盎司3,035.12美元,之前在盤中創下了每盎司3,038.90美元的歷史高點。美國黃金期貨也上漲0.1%,至每盎司3,042.20美元。

根據KCM Trade的首席市場策略師Tim Waterer的說法,在因關稅和國際不確定性引起的經濟不確定性背景下,黃金再次確認其作為避風港的地位。

聯邦儲備局可能給黃金帶來新刺激

投資者預測,如果聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)在其聲明中採取鴿派立場,這將給金價提供額外支持。

"如果聯邦儲備局表達對貿易障礙對經濟增長影響的擔憂,這可能成為金價進一步上升的綠燈,或許會超過每盎司3,050美元,"Waterer表示。

市場參與者也將重點關注定於格林威治標準時間18:30由聯邦儲備局主席杰羅姆·鲍威爾發表的講話,他的評論可能會對監管機構未來的政策提供啟示,並因此影響黃金的動向。

其他貴金屬承壓

儘管黃金表現強勢,其他貴金屬卻下跌:

  • 白銀下跌0.2%,至每盎司33.97美元;
  • 鉑金下跌0.4%,至992.85美元;
  • 鈀金下跌0.1%,至每盎司966.24美元。

市場緊張不安地等待聯準會的決策及全球經濟的進一步發展,這可能會決定近期金屬價格的走向。

Thomas Frank,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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