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Fundamental analysis

27.11.202416:19 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD：分析與預測

Exchange Rates 27.11.2024 analysis

連續第二天，由於市場對潛在貿易戰的擔憂加劇，黃金正在獲得動力。地緣政治風險以及美國候任總統唐納·川普提議的關稅政策，正在推動避險資金流入。同時，美國國債收益率的下降使美元維持在每週低點附近，這對貴金屬形成支撐。這促使黃金從每週低點，即大約2600美元的整數水平反彈。

此外，歐洲股市疲弱的情緒也是推動黃金價格上漲的另一個因素。然而，昨日的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議紀要顯示美聯儲對降息採取更為漸進的態度，預期將增強美元，可能限制黃金的上行運動。

在開立新倉位之前，黃金多頭（XAU/USD）應等待美國關鍵宏觀經濟數據，特別是PCE物價指數。

技術分析

從每週低點強勁反彈及隨後的增強為多頭提供支撐。然而，日線圖上的振盪指標才剛進入正區域，尚未確認明顯的多頭趨勢。這表明，上揚可能在接近2650美元的強阻力位遇到挑戰，該水平由4小時圖表上的100日簡單移動平均線（SMA）強化。

Exchange Rates 27.11.2024 analysis

如果金價突破此水平，可能會上升至 $2665-2670 區域附近——接近 50 天 SMA——然後目標指向圓整的 $2700 水平。

Exchange Rates 27.11.2024 analysis

另一方面，$2625-2622 區域可能在接近 $2600 的圓整水平之前提供初步支撐。若是決定性跌破 $2600，可能會引發新的看跌勢頭。

Exchange Rates 27.11.2024 analysis

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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