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10.12.202416:59 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 截至12月10日之英鎊/美元、澳元/美元、美元/瑞郎、歐元/日元、歐元/英鎊及美元指數的簡化波浪分析每週預測

GBP/USD

簡要分析：從夏末以來，英鎊的走勢方向由一個下降波浪所界定。當前的波浪符合日線級別的時間框架規模。三周前，價格從廣泛反轉區的下緣反彈，目前正接近各種時間框架的阻力水平聚集區。

每週預測：預計本周初英鎊將在計算出的阻力區附近維持在橫盤區間內，並有可能短暫突破上邊界。預期至周末將出現波動性增加、反轉及價格向下移動。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域：

  • 阻力位：1.2810/1.2860
  • 支撐位：1.2500/1.2450

建議：

  • 購買：缺乏潛力，可能導致損失。
  • 賣出：在接近阻力位出現反轉信號後，考慮短期交易，採用小批量交易。

AUD/USD

簡要分析：澳大利亞元的短期趨勢主要以向下運動為主。該趨勢結構仍未完成，價格正接近預定目標區域的上邊界。

每週預測：預計本週該貨幣對將逐步向計算的支撐區域移動，交易模式可能較平穩。臨近週末時，可能出現方向變化，且對支撐區域下邊界的短暫壓力。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域：

  • 阻力：0.6480/0.6530
  • 支撐：0.6350/0.6300

建議：

  • 買入：當前波動尚未完成前不宜買入。待反轉信號出現後，可考慮進行分批小量交易。
  • 賣出：可進行，但應減少交易量且受支撐區域限制。

USD/CHF

簡要分析：自八月初開始的上升波段似乎呈現為一種平盤結構。最終分段（C）尚未完成。此貨幣對目前在寬幅的每週反轉區域之內交易。

每週預測：在可能對支撐區域形成壓力後，預期會出現反轉和價格增長。價格可能上升至計算出的阻力區域，該區域代表當前波段目標範圍的上邊界。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在的反轉區域：

  • 阻力：0.8980/0.9030
  • 支撐：0.8750/0.8700

建議：

  • 賣出：未來幾天沒有此類交易的條件。
  • 買入：在出現反轉信號後，考慮進行受限於計算阻力區域的交易。

EUR/JPY

簡要分析：EUR/JPY的持續上升波自8月5日開始。10月底出現了修正的下降走勢，超越了最後一段的回撤水平並持續發展。最近，價格從強反轉區域的上沿回升。

每週預測：預計該匯對在未來幾天將漸進上升，朝向計算出的阻力區域。在達到該區域後，預期將反轉並回歸至空頭動能，週末期間波動可能性較大。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區間：

  • 阻力區：161.00/161.50
  • 支撐區：157.80/157.30

建議：

  • 買入：適合以減少的單量進行日內交易，但要在初步反轉信號出現時平倉。
  • 賣出：在個別交易時段內，當反轉信號在阻力區附近出現後，可考慮進行分批次的賣出交易。

EUR/GBP

簡要分析：近年來，EUR/GBP的長期趨勢一直為看跌。目前未完成的趨勢段始於8月5日，正在形成其最後部分 (C)，目前仍未完成。

每週預測：在接下來的幾天裡，該貨幣對可能會水平波動。價格或會短暫上漲至支撐區，隨後反轉並回歸看跌情緒。支撐區標誌著該貨幣對可能的每週範圍的下邊界。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在的反轉區域：

  • 阻力位：0.8320/0.8370
  • 支撐位：0.8180/0.8130

建議：

  • 買入：可以在交易系統出現反轉信號後考慮。
  • 賣出：分量交易可在個別交易時段進行，但潛在收益有限。

美元指數

簡要分析：在日線時間框架中，美元指數接近完成自9月25日開始的上升趨勢。一個於11月6日開始的跌浪具有反轉的潛力，價格極端形成了一個擴展的水平平坦形態。

每週預測：預計本週指數將相對於其他主要貨幣持續下跌。美元指數可能在一兩天內略微上升，但不太可能超過阻力位。計算出來的支撐區包含不同時間框架中潛在反轉水平的聚集。

Exchange Rates 10.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域：

  • 阻力位：106.20/106.40
  • 支撐位：104.70/104.50

建議：

  • 預計本週不會有出售國家貨幣的條件。短期交易以加強其他貨幣對美元的走勢在接下來幾天可能會有利可圖。

簡化波浪分析 (SWA) 解釋：

  • 所有波浪均由三部分組成（A-B-C）。
  • 每個時間框架僅分析最近的未完成波浪。
  • 虛線表示預期的走勢。

注意：波浪算法不考慮價格走勢隨時間的持續時間。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Isabel Clark,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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