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16.12.202415:46 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 根據簡化波浪分析預測本週英鎊/美元、澳元/美元、美元/瑞郎、歐元/日圓、歐元/英鎊和歐元/瑞郎的走勢 – 12月16日

GBP/USD

簡析:

自八月下旬以來,英鎊對美元的走勢呈現看跌趨勢,其地位逐漸削弱。這段趨勢屬於一個較大規模的修正波的一部分。在過去的三週內,匯價已從強勁潛在反轉區的下邊界上方反彈。然而,這段趨勢欠缺反轉潛力。

每週預測:

在即將到來的一週上半段,預計英鎊將持續橫盤整理。可能出現下跌,但不會超出計算支撐區的下邊界。市場活動的增加、反轉及恢復上升趨勢最有可能發生在週末前。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域:

  • 阻力:1.2780–1.2830
  • 支撐:1.2490–1.2440

建議:

  • 賣出:潛力有限。建議降低交易量以求安全。
  • 買進:考慮在接近支撐區域並確認反轉信號後進行交易。

AUD/USD

簡要分析:

澳元的主導性空頭趨勢的最新階段始於9月30日。報價已達到潛在強反轉區域的上邊界。雖然波浪結構看似尚未完結,但沒有即將發生趨勢反轉的跡象。

每週預測:

週初預計價格波動將保持平穩。可能對支撐區域施加壓力,隨後反轉並恢復向計算的阻力水平上升。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域:

  • 阻力位:0.6430–0.6480
  • 支撐位:0.6330–0.6280

建議:

  • 賣出:未來幾天內不存在如此交易的有利條件。
  • 買入:在支撐區域附近確認反轉信號後,交易可能變得相關。

USD/CHF

簡要分析:

瑞士法郎兌美元貨幣對自八月初開始的上升波段已進入最後階段。一個月前,價格進入了一個廣闊的潛在反轉區域,現在接近其上邊界。尚未看到任何即時反轉的跡象。

每週預測:

本週初可能完成上升趨勢,價格達到阻力區。在下半週預期會出現橫向走勢,隨後展開反轉並恢復下跌趨勢。每週範圍的下邊界由支撐區域決定。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在的反轉區域:

  • 阻力位:0.8980–0.9030
  • 支撐位:0.8750–0.8700

建議:

  • 賣出:現階段上升趨勢尚未結束,賣出為時過早。
  • 買入:可以在個別交易會議中以減少的交易量進行買入,但上升空間可能受阻力區域的限制。

EUR/JPY

簡要分析:

EUR/JPY的短期走勢目前由8月5日開始的上升波浪決定。這個波浪的最後一段(C)正在形成。自12月初以來,該貨幣對自支撐區域呈現出看漲趨勢,顯示出反轉的潛力,並有可能在通過修正確認後持續下去。

每週預測:

預計本週價格將持續上升。該貨幣對可能達到計算出的阻力區域。在本週初期,價格可能出現橫向走勢或向支撐區域回落。活動量可能會在週末有所增加。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域:

  • 阻力位:162.50–163.00
  • 支撐位:160.70–160.20

建議:

  • 賣出:潛力有限,可能導致損失。
  • 買入:在支撐區域出現確認反轉信號後,可以使用小量進行。

EUR/GBP

簡要分析:

EUR/GBP 目前呈現下降趨勢,自2月3日以來受到空頭波浪的引導。自八月初以來,一個未完成的段落正在形成。在過去的幾周中,報價在這個段落中顯示出中間調整,接近計算出的阻力區域的下邊界。

每週預測:

價格的上升走勢可能會在週初結束。預計在接近阻力區域時將發生反轉,隨之恢復下降趨勢。預計週末活動將增加。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域:

  • 阻力位:0.8340–0.8390
  • 支撐位:0.8180–0.8130

建議:

  • 買入:適合短線操作,可以用較小的交易量進行。
  • 賣出:考慮在阻力區附近出現反轉信號後進行交易。

EUR/CHF

簡要分析:

EUR/CHF(歐元/瑞士法郎)貨幣對自8月初以來一直呈現上升趨勢。最新的未完成段落始於11月22日。波浪結構在分析時尚未完成。

每週預測:

預計本週初會出現橫盤走勢,可能會跌至支撐區域。在下半週,可能會出現反轉並恢復上升趨勢,計算出的阻力位將作為初步目標區域。

Exchange Rates 16.12.2024 analysis

潛在反轉區域:

  • 阻力:0.9440–0.9490
  • 支撐:0.9340–0.9290

建議:

  • 賣出:可考慮在日內交易中以減少的持倉規模進行。
  • 買入:在支撐區域附近出現確認的反轉信號後較為可取。

説明性說明

  • 在簡化波浪分析(SWA)中,所有波浪由三個部分組成(A-B-C)。分析主要關注每個時間框架中的最後一個未完成波浪。
  • 虛線表示預期的走勢。
  • 重要提示:波浪算法不考慮價格運動的時間長度!

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Isabel Clark,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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