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27.12.202406:49 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 如何在12月27日交易歐元/美元貨幣對?針對初學者的簡單提示和交易分析

週四交易分析

歐元/美元一小時圖表

Exchange Rates 27.12.2024 analysis

週四,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續以低波動性進行交易,嚴格維持橫向走勢。因此,目前沒有太多可以分析的內容。市場正處於由於假期而導致的完全平靜階段,沒有宏觀經濟報告或重大事件發生。在這種情況下,最佳的做法是等待新年平靜期結束。或者,也可以考慮在較長的時間框架內進行交易,其中當前的平靜狀態可能不那麼明顯。但這需要持有頭寸至少一周的時間。

歐元/美元5分鐘圖

Exchange Rates 27.12.2024 analysis

在 EUR/USD 的五分鐘圖表上,週四沒有產生任何交易信號。在夜間,價格勉強達到了 1.0433–1.0451 區間,並試圖進行小幅反彈。儘管這是一個技術信號可以操作,但考慮到整體價格停滯不前且缺乏波動,似乎並不實際。

週五的交易策略:

在每小時圖表上,EUR/USD 貨幣對在接近三週的時間內在水平通道內交易。然而,美聯儲會議的結果引發了顯著的市場反應,打破了這一平盤趨勢。我們認為歐元的中期下跌趨勢已經恢復。在假期周,市場可能會出現一段時間的平盤或修正,但預計會回到 1.0334–1.0359 區間。

週五,該貨幣對可能會嘗試再度下跌至 1.0334–1.0359 區域,這是目前的關鍵點。然而,繼續平盤或非常微弱的波動性也是可能的。

在五分鐘圖表上,考慮以下水平:1.0269–1.0277,1.0334–1.0359,1.0433–1.0451,1.0526,1.0596,1.0678,1.0726–1.0733,1.0797–1.0804,1.0845–1.0851,1.0888–1.0896。週五,歐元區或美國沒有安排任何重要事件或報告。因此,今天不太可能出現有意義的市場波動。

核心交易系統規則:

  1. 信號強度:信號形成(反彈或突破)所需的時間越短,信號越強。
  2. 虛假信號:如果某一水平附近的兩次或更多次交易導致虛假信號,則應忽略該水平的後續信號。
  3. 平盤市場:在平盤條件下,貨幣對可能產生許多虛假信號或根本不產生信號。在平盤市場的第一個跡象時停止交易是更好的選擇。
  4. 交易時段:在歐洲交易時段開始到美國交易時段中間之間開盤的交易,然後手動關閉所有交易。
  5. MACD 信號:在小時圖表上,僅在波動性良好且趨勢明顯時根據趨勢線或趨勢通道確認的情況下交易 MACD 信號。
  6. 貼近水平:如果兩個水平過於接近(5–20 點),將其視為支撐或阻力區域。
  7. 止損:在價格朝預期方向移動 15 點後設置止損至盈虧平衡點。

關鍵圖表元素:

支撐與阻力水平:這些是開盤或關盤的目標水平,也可以作為設置獲利收場(Take Profit)訂單的點。

紅色線:表示當前趨勢的通道或趨勢線以及偏好的交易方向。

MACD 指標 (14,22,3):直方圖和信號線用作交易信號的補充來源。

重要事件和報告:在經濟日曆中可以找到,這些報告可能對價格波動產生重大影響。在發佈時應謹慎行事或退出市場,以避免劇烈反轉。

外匯交易初學者需記住,並非每一筆交易都會盈利。制定明確的策略和練習正確的資金管理對長期交易成功至關重要。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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