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外汇市场分析

03.01.202509:46 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 歐元/美元：1月3日給初學者交易者的簡單交易技巧。昨日外匯交易分析

歐元交易分析及交易提示

隨著2025年的開始，歐元正面臨對美元的顯著挑戰。買家可能會試圖從昨日的下跌中恢復，透過今天的初步動作，因此總體走勢仍不明朗。

今天的歐元區數據將是關鍵。德國的失業率仍是一個關鍵的經濟主題，新的數據將揭示勞動力市場的動態。儘管失業率預計會略微下降，但這並不一定表明經濟增長穩定。值得關注的是，許多因素，包括全球經濟趨勢和內部挑戰，可能會在未來對就業造成負面影響。

歐洲中央銀行執行董事會成員Philip Lane的演講預計將在影響貨幣對走勢上扮演重要角色。他的評論可能會提供對歐央行貨幣政策和未來決策的寶貴見解。Lane是一位著名的經濟學家，對宏觀經濟趨勢有著廣泛的知識，他經常強調通脹和經濟增長在其分析中的重要性。他對當前經濟形勢的評估可能有助於市場參與者了解歐央行如何計劃解決通脹風險並確保金融穩定。許多人預期他的演講將評估近期經濟數據對央行策略的影響。

關於日內策略，我將專注於實施方案#1和方案#2。

Exchange Rates 03.01.2025 analysis

買入信號

情境#1：今天可以在價格水平1.0289（圖表上的綠線）買入歐元，目標是1.0320。在1.0320處，我計劃退出市場並反向售出歐元，預期從進場點會有30–35點的波動。歐元在上半天顯著增長的可能性不大。重要提示！在購買之前，請確保MACD指標高於零並開始上升。

情境#2：如果今天在價格水平1.0268連續兩次測試且MACD指標處於超賣區域，我也計劃買入歐元。這將限制該貨幣對的下行潛力並導致市場上行反轉。可預期的增長目標是1.0289和1.0320。

賣出信號

情境#1：我計劃在達到1.0268水平（圖表上的紅線）後出售歐元，目標是1.0234，此處我計劃退出市場並立即反向買入，期待從該水平上行20–25點的波動。對該貨幣對的壓力隨時可能回歸。重要提示！在賣出之前，請確保MACD指標低於零並開始下降。

情境#2：如果今天在價格水平1.0289連續兩次測試且MACD指標處於超買區域，我也計劃賣出歐元。這將限制該貨幣對的上行潛力並導致市場下行反轉。預期下降的目標水平是1.0268和1.0234。

圖表注釋

  • 細綠線：買入交易工具的進場價格。
  • 粗綠線：建議的止盈目標或手動鎖定利潤的水平，因為進一步超過該水平的增長不太可能。
  • 細紅線：賣出交易工具的進場價格。
  • 粗紅線：建議的止盈目標或手動鎖定利潤的水平，因為進一步低於該水平的下降不太可能。
  • MACD指標：在識別超買和超賣區域來指導市場進入決策時至關重要。

新手交易者的重要提示

  • 始終謹慎對待市場進入決策。
  • 避免在重大新聞發布期間進行交易，以免價格大幅波動。
  • 如果在新聞發布期間交易，務必設置止損單以將損失降至最低。
  • 在沒有止損單或資金管理措施的情況下交易，特別是在使用大額資金時，可能會迅速耗盡your deposit。
  • 一個明確的交易計劃，如上述所列，對於成功交易至關重要。根據當前市場情況即興做出交易決策對於日內交易者來說本質上是劣勢的。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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