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10.01.202509:13 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD:1月10日給初學者交易者的簡單交易技巧。昨日外匯交易分析

英鎊交易分析及交易提示

下午測試1.2301水平時,正值MACD指標從零線開始向上移動,確定了買入英鎊的合理進場點。然而考慮到當前的下跌趨勢,英鎊未能出現強勁的上漲,而在回升15點後,壓力再度來臨。

分析師指出,英鎊的積極拋售可能與即將公佈的經濟數據的不確定性有關。現時市場趨勢顯示,根據今日特別受關注的美國就業報告結果,可能出現波動。此外,英鎊匯率可能受英國政治局勢影響。投資者對於可能發生的政府戰略變動的擔憂,加劇了外匯市場的波動性。對於貿易及其他關鍵經濟問題的不確定性,也可能引致進一步的波動。

今日來自NIESR的GDP數據或將提供一些指引,但不太可能引起可與傳統經濟增長報告相媲美的反應。交易員預計會謹慎解讀NIESR的初步結果,尤其是當其偏離更廣泛的經濟趨勢時。

針對今日的日內策略,我將主要依賴於Scenario #1和#2的實施。

Exchange Rates 10.01.2025 analysis

買入信號

情境 #1:我計劃今天在1.2297的進場點(圖表上的綠線)買入英鎊,目標是漲向1.2357(圖表上較粗的綠線)。在接近1.2357時,我將退出買入倉位,並開立反向的賣出交易,預期該水平會有30–35點的回調。今天英鎊的上漲預計僅在修正框架內發生。

重要提示:在買入之前,請確保MACD指標在零線之上並剛開始上升。

情境 #2:我也計劃在1.2260水平進行兩次連續測試的情況下買入英鎊,當此時MACD指標處於超賣區域時,將限制該貨幣對的下行潛力並觸發向上的市場反轉。預期將漲向1.2297和1.2357的相反水平。

賣出信號

情境 #1:我計劃在跌破1.2260水平(圖表上的紅線)後賣出英鎊,這將導致該貨幣對迅速下跌。賣方的主要目標將是1.2212,在此處我將退出賣出倉位,並立即開立買入交易,預期該水平會有20–25點的反彈。如能在高點賣出英鎊,將有助於延續新興的看跌趨勢。重要提示:在賣出之前,請確保MACD指標在零線之下並開始下降。

情境 #2:我也計劃在1.2297水平進行兩次連續測試的情況下賣出英鎊,當此時MACD指標處於超買區域時,將限制該貨幣對的上行潛力並觸發向下的市場反轉。預期將跌向1.2260和1.2212的相反水平。

Exchange Rates 10.01.2025 analysis

圖表註記

  • 細綠線:買入交易工具的入場價格。
  • 粗綠線:建議的獲利目標或手動鎖定利潤的位置,因為進一步超過此水平的增長可能性較小。
  • 細紅線:賣出交易工具的入場價格。
  • 粗紅線:建議的獲利目標或手動鎖定利潤的位置,因為進一步低於此水平的下跌可能性較小。
  • MACD 指標:對於識別超買和超賣區域以指導市場進入決策至關重要。

新手交易者的重要提示

  • 總是謹慎對待市場入場決策。
  • 避免在重大新聞發布期間進行交易,以避免價格劇烈波動。
  • 如果在新聞發布期間進行交易,一定要設置止損單以最大程度減少損失。
  • 沒有止損訂單或資金管理的方法進行交易可能會迅速耗盡您的存款,特別是在使用大交易量時。
  • 一個明確的交易計劃,例如上述所列的,對於成功交易至關重要。根據當前市場條件做出的即興交易決策對於日內交易者來說本質上是不利的。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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