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17.01.202509:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 比特幣揭開派對序幕

在唐納德·特朗普即將就職之際,比特幣似乎準備迎接一場慶祝性的漲勢,這位當選總統承諾將美國打造成全球的加密貨幣中心。來自彭博社的內部消息顯示,特朗普計劃在美國政策中優先考慮數字資產。可能的措施包括建立一個加密顧問委員會以保護該行業,並制定比特幣戰略儲備計劃。BTC/USD 的漲勢真的令人驚訝嗎?

市場情緒顯示,即使特朗普對數字資產持中立立場,也將有利於加密貨幣行業。然而,他從加密懷疑者轉變為擁抱數字貨幣,對 BTC/USD 多頭來說是一個積極的信號。自特朗普勝選以來,比特幣已經上漲了50%,這就引發了一個問題:這會演變成「買消息,賣事實」的情況嗎?

加密愛好者認為,現在套利的投資者可能錯失更大的機會。特朗普預計將出台一系列有利於加密的法律,這可能促使 BTC/USD 價格進一步上升。隨著風險偏好的提升與比特幣與納斯達克100指數的相關性達到兩年高點,整體前景依然看漲。

比特幣與納斯達克100的表現趨勢
Exchange Rates 17.01.2025 analysis

在他的第一個任期內,特朗普特別關注股票市場的表現,將其視為他總統任期成功的關鍵指標。這種觀點不太可能改變。強勁的企業盈利潛力、對量子計算的興奮,以及美聯儲可能在通脹和經濟活動放緩的情況下回到降息,都支持了股票和更高風險資產(包括比特幣)的吸引力。

美聯儲Christopher Waller最近的言論,暗示如果通脹繼續放緩,貨幣政策可能最快在三月放鬆,進一步推動了納斯達克100指數和BTC/USD的上漲。

比特幣也受益於有關美國、澳洲和英國的養老基金進入加密貨幣領域的報導。在比特幣經歷了2024年120%的漲幅,以及即將上任的美國總統的支持下,這些機構被越來越多地推動將數字資產納入其投資組合。

Exchange Rates 17.01.2025 analysis

JP Morgan估計,專注於Solana和XRP等替代代幣的專業交易所買賣基金(ETFs)可能會吸引140億美元的投資。

從技術層面來看,BTC/USD組合在日線圖上形成了一個擴大楔形模式。如果能夠明確突破接近102,800美元的第5點,將增加上升趨勢恢復的可能性,並為購買創造堅實的基礎。反之,如果突破失敗,可能會觸發反轉模式,為比特幣的賣出提供機會。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Marek Petkovich,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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