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外汇市场分析

28.02.202509:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD：2月28日初學者的簡易交易貼士。昨日外匯交易分析

歐元交易分析及交易建議

在1.0469的價格測試發生時，MACD指標才剛從零點開始下移。這確認了賣出歐元的正確進場點，並導致價格下降至目標水平1.0436。

美元的走強進一步給歐元施壓，而歐元已經因能源供應不確定性和經濟衰退的憂慮面臨挑戰。歐洲中央銀行近期會議紀要顯示，近期可能出現降息。

今天，交易者可能會繼續關注歐元區的經濟數據，以評估降息的可能性。特別將關注德國和法國經濟的差異。如果德國顯示出放緩跡象，而法國則顯示出適度增長，可能促使對歐元區整體韌性的重新評估。

地緣政治因素也不容忽視。類似於昨日市場運動的貿易衝突升級可能進一步給歐元帶來壓力。

我將主要依賴情境1和情境2作為今天日內策略的依據。

Exchange Rates 28.02.2025 analysis

購買信號

情境#1：在圖表上綠線附近以1.0407買入歐元，目標鎖定在1.0449。在1.0449處，我計畫退出市場並反向賣出，預期從進場點開始的波動為30-35點。歐元在一天的上半段若有大幅上升可能，則須有來自德國和法國的強勁經濟數據。在進行買入交易前，確保MACD位於零點上方並開始上升。

情境#2：若價格兩次測試1.0383，而MACD處於超賣區域，則另一個買入機會出現。這將限制此貨幣對的下行潛力並引發市場逆轉向上。預期會上升到相對水準1.0407和1.0449。

賣出信號

情境#1：當歐元到達圖表上的紅線1.0383時，賣出目標鎖定在1.0341，我計畫在這裡退出市場並立即反向買入，目標為20-25點的反轉。如果經濟數據疲弱，賣壓將重新浮現。在賣出之前，確保MACD位於零點下方且開始下降。

情境#2：如果價格在1.0407處測試兩次，而MACD處於超買區域，則計劃進行賣出操作。這將限制此貨幣對的上行潛力並導致逆轉向下。預期會下降到相對水準1.0383和1.0341。

Exchange Rates 28.02.2025 analysis

圖表上的資訊：

  • 細綠線表示可買入交易工具的入市價格。
  • 粗綠線表示可下達止盈訂單或手動鎖定利潤的預期價格水平，因為價格在該水平以上進一步上漲的可能性不大。
  • 細紅線表示可賣出交易工具的入市價格。
  • 粗紅線表示可下達止盈訂單或手動鎖定利潤的預期價格水平，因為價格在該水平以下進一步下降的可能性不大。
  • 進入市場時，應使用MACD指標來評估超買和超賣區域。

重要提示：

  • 初學者外匯交易者在做出市場入市決策時應格外謹慎。在重要基礎報告發布前，建議避開市場，以避免暴露於劇烈的價格波動。如果您選擇在新聞發布期間進行交易，務必使用止損訂單以減少潛在損失。在沒有止損訂單的情況下交易可能會迅速消耗掉您的全部存款，尤其是在忽略資金管理原則並進行高交易量的交易時。
  • 請記住，成功的交易需要一個明確的交易計畫，如上面所述。根據當前市場情況做出衝動的交易決策對於日內交易者來說是一種失敗的策略。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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