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10.03.202513:30 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 美國市場:經過損失後,週末出現積極轉變

Exchange Rates 10.03.2025 analysis

S&P 500

3月10日概覽

美國市場:週末樂觀收盤

週五美國主要股指:道瓊 +0.5%,納斯達克 +0.7%,S&P 500 +0.6%,S&P 500:5,770,交易區間:5,650 - 6,200。

股市在一週下跌後收穫漲幅。

S&P 500 上漲0.6%,道瓊斯工業平均指數上升0.5%,納斯達克綜合指數上漲0.7%。

下跌後的搶購反映了“逢低買入”策略,特別是在本週早些時候大幅下跌後。技術因素也可能刺激買盤活動,當S&P 500再度跌破其200天移動平均線(5,733)時。

半導體行業的強勁表現為整體股票市場提供了顯著支持。在一份強勁的業績報告和預測出爐後,Broadcom (AVGO 194.96, +15.51, +8.6%) 刺激了該行業的買入動力。

PHLX半導體指數(SOX)上升了3.2%。早晨公布的2月份就業報告並不理想,但並未阻礙買家。

非農就業增長略低於預期(151,000 vs. 159,000),而U6失業率大幅上升(從7.5%增至8.0%),未達2021年底的水平。(U6失業率衡量失業者和尋找工作的人佔全部經濟活動人口的比例。)

市場參與者同時也消化了美聯儲主席Jerome Powell在Q&A環節中的評論,他對生產力的提升感到驚喜,這導致較高的潛在產出,並重申沒必要急於調整聯準會的政策。

此外,特朗普總統表示,原定於4月2日生效的報復性關稅可能提前實施。

年初至今:

道瓊斯工業平均指數:-2.4% S&P 500:-3.1% S&P中型股400:-3.5% 納斯達克綜合指數:-3.5% 羅素2000:-4.1%

經濟數據回顧:

2月非農就業人數:151K (預期 159K);前值:由 143K 修正至 125K2月非農私營部門就業人數:140K (預期 145K);前值:由 111K 修正至 80K2月平均時薪:0.3% (預期 0.3%);前值:由 0.5% 修正至 0.4%2月失業率:4.1% (預期 4.0%);前值:4.0%2月平均每週工作時數:34.1 (預期 34.2);前值:34.1。

此報告的主要意義是,結果不如預期的好,無法平息其他近期數據所反映的增長擔憂。

週一的宏觀經濟日曆中沒有重要新聞釋出。

能源:布倫特原油:69.90美元。面對美國經濟放緩的跡象,油價保持壓力。

結論:美國市場增長仍有可能。建議在支撐位持有長倉。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Jozef Kovach,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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