empty
cn
支持
即时开户
交易平台
入金/出金

14.03.202503:38 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 英鎊/美元3月14日交易建議與分析:英鎊似乎毫無作為

英鎊/美元5分鐘分析

Exchange Rates 14.03.2025 analysis

週四,英鎊兌美元的貨幣對出現小幅回調,但未能突破關鍵線下方鞏固。Kijun-sen線位於目前價格的非常接近處。週四英國並沒有發布任何宏觀經濟報告,儘管美國有一些數據發布,但市場反應微乎其微,甚至在五分鐘時間框架上幾乎不可察覺。同時,唐納·川普繼續對歐盟和加拿大發出威脅;然而,市場對他的言論變得越來越不在意。如果外匯市場之前還不確定,那麼現在是更加動盪不安,這讓人質疑市場是否已結束對川普制裁和關稅的反應,或者是否還期待進一步的發展。

從技術層面來看,局勢依然不明朗。沒有可辨的趨勢線或通道。在關鍵水平下方整固可能引發小幅下跌,但跌破1.2863需要相當大的努力。有趣的是,除了川普的言論之外,英鎊缺乏強有力的理由對美元升值。這表明目前的上升趨勢可能突然結束,導致新的下跌。在日線和月線時間框架上的下行趨勢保持不變。

在五分鐘時間框架上,週四只有一個交易信號。在美國交易時段開始時,價格反彈自Kijun-sen線並上升了30點。儘管未達到最近的目標,但如果交易員選擇在晚上手動平倉,他們還是可以獲得10-15點的利潤。

COT報告

Exchange Rates 14.03.2025 analysis

英鎊的COT報告顯示,近年來商業交易者的情緒一直在波動。代表商業和非商業交易者淨頭寸的紅色和藍色線條經常交叉,並且通常在零線附近徘徊。目前,這些線條彼此之間距離接近,表明買賣頭寸的數量大致相等。

在周線時間框架內,價格最初突破了1.3154的水平,然後下降到趨勢線,隨即突破該趨勢線。這一突破暗示英鎊的下跌可能會持續。然而,周線圖上倒數第二個本地低點處也出現了反彈,這可能意味著市場趨於平穩。

根據最新的英鎊COT報告,"非商業"組合開立了7,800份買入合約並關閉了6,300份賣出合約。因此,非商業交易者的淨頭寸在一周內增加了14,100份合約,但這對英鎊並沒有顯著的支持作用。

基礎背景仍然未能為長期投資於英鎊提供堅實的理由,該貨幣面臨著可能繼續全球降勢的現實可能性。儘管英鎊最近經歷了顯著增長,但其根本原因似乎與唐納德·特朗普的政策有關。

GBP/USD 1小時分析

Exchange Rates 14.03.2025 analysis

在小時圖上,英鎊/美元仍維持在上升趨勢中。這可能不是當前日線時間框架上持續向上修正中的最後一個趨勢轉變,但這次修正早就應該結束了。我們仍然看不到任何基本面支持英鎊長期上漲。目前,唯一支撐英鎊的因素是唐納德·特朗普,他繼續對除英國以外的幾乎所有國家實施制裁和關稅。其他所有的市場因素都被忽略。

對於3月14日,要關注的關鍵水平是1.2237-1.2255、1.2331-1.2349、1.2429-1.2445、1.2511、1.2605-1.2620、1.2691-1.2701、1.2796-1.2816、1.2863、1.2981-1.2987、1.3050。Senkou Span B(1.2749)和 Kijun-sen(1.2922)線也可以作為信號點。一旦價格朝正確的方向移動20點,應將止損設定於保本點。Ichimoku指標線可能會在一天內發生變化,因此交易者在識別信號時應考慮到這一點。

英國將於週五發布月度GDP和工業生產報告。在這種情況下,工業生產報告甚至比GDP更為重要。月度GDP報告不等同於季度GDP報告,所以其影響不大。在美國,密歇根大學消費者信心指數將發布,但這份報告也不是非常具影響力的。

插圖說明:

  • 支撐和阻力位(粗紅線):粗紅線表示價格波動可能結束的位置。請注意,這些線並非交易信號的來源。
  • Kijun-sen和Senkou Span B線:Ichimoku指標線從4小時圖轉移到小時圖上。這些是強勢線。
  • 極限水平(細紅線):細紅線為價格先前反彈的位置。這些為交易信號來源。
  • 黃色線:趨勢線、趨勢通道或任何其他技術形態。
  • COT圖上的指標1:代表每類交易者的淨持倉量。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
立即从分析师的建议受益
充值交易账户
开设交易账户

InstaSpot分析评论将让您充分了解市场趋势! 作为InstaSpot的客户,您将获得大量的免费服务以实现有效的交易。

See Also

Forex News
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Surge in Canadian Manufacturing Sales: A Positive Start to 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Retail Sales Surge in January with a Notable 3.1% Increase Year-Over-Year
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Retail Sales Remain Flat for Second Consecutive Month
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Producer Price Index Experiences Sharp Decline to 0.13% in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Israel's CPI Stalls in February, Showing 0.0% Growth Month-over-Month
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Israel's Inflation Rate Eases to 3.4% in February, Reflecting Economic Stability
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Debt-to-GDP Ratio Sees a Downturn: A Positive Economic Indicator Amidst Global Turbulence
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Budget Surplus Rockets to Record High in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Net Debt-to-GDP Ratio Slightly Drops in January 2025, Showcasing Financial Stability
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Indian Deposit Growth Holds Steady at 10.3% as of March 2025
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    CFTC Reports Decline in Gold Speculative Net Positions for March 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Euro Zone Speculators Flip to Net Long on the Euro as CFTC Data Reveals Trend Reversal
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Surge in Silver Speculative Interest As CFTC Net Positions Climb to 59.5K
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Natural Gas Speculative Positions Continue Downward Trend, Reaches -93.0k
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Sterling Surge: CFTC Reports Increased Speculative Net Positions in GBP to 29.2K Points
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Swiss Franc Speculative Positioning Shows Slight Uptick, CFTC Data Reveals
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    U.S. CFTC Wheat Positions Narrower Than Expected in Latest Report
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Soybeans Speculative Net Positions Narrow as CFTC Reports Latest Figures
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Speculative Bets on S&P 500 Surge as CFTC Reports New Data
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Nasdaq 100 Speculative Net Positions Increase, Signals Growing Investor Confidence
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Increase in CFTC Crude Oil Speculative Net Positions Points to Growing Bet on Oil Prices
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    CFTC Reports Drop in Corn Speculative Net Positions Amid Market Adjustments
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Copper Speculative Net Positions Surge as Market Sentiment Shifts
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Aluminum Speculative Net Positions Rise to 2.0K, Signaling Growing Market Interest
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Strengthening Confidence: CFTC Reports Narrowing of NZD Speculative Net Positions
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's CFTC BRL Speculative Positions Decline: A Snapshot of Current Trends
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Stability Seen in Australian Dollar Speculative Positions as CFTC Data Shows No Change
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Mexico's MXN Speculative Net Positions Surge to 30.1K in March 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Speculative Bets on Yen Edge Higher as Currency Markets Watch Closely
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Canadian Dollar Speculative Net Positions Slightly Improve in Latest CFTC Report
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Argentina's Inflation Sees Significant Drop in February, Marking Hope for Economic Stabilization
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Argentina’s CPI Rise: February Shows 0.2% Month-Over-Month Increase
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Argentina's Inflation Continues its Climb: National CPI Hits 2.40% in February
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count Holds Steady at 592 as of March 14, 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count Inches Up to 487 in March Update
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Colombia's Retail Sales Surge by 10.2% in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Industrial Production in Colombia Stagnates at 1.9% in January 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    China's Foreign Direct Investment Continues to Decline in February 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Michigan Economic Confidence Dips in March: Key Indicator Falls to 63.5
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Michigan Consumer Expectations Show Significant Decline in March
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 3.9% in March
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Dips in March Reflecting Economic Concerns
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Rising Concerns in Michigan as 1-Year Inflation Expectations Climb to 4.9%
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil Auto Sales Rebound in February, Surging by 8%
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazilian Auto Production Revvs Up: February Sees Significant Growth
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Botswana's Inflation Growth Eases to 0.3% in February: A MoM Slowdown
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Botswana's Inflation Rises to 2.7% in February, Marking a Slight Uptick from January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Germany's Current Account Surplus Narrows Sharply in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Plunge in Canadian New Motor Vehicle Sales: January 2025 Sees a Significant Decline
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Canada's Wholesale Sales See a Slight Dip in January
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Surge in Canadian Manufacturing Sales: A Positive Start to 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Retail Sales Surge in January with a Notable 3.1% Increase Year-Over-Year
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Retail Sales Remain Flat for Second Consecutive Month
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Producer Price Index Experiences Sharp Decline to 0.13% in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Israel's CPI Stalls in February, Showing 0.0% Growth Month-over-Month
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Israel's Inflation Rate Eases to 3.4% in February, Reflecting Economic Stability
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Debt-to-GDP Ratio Sees a Downturn: A Positive Economic Indicator Amidst Global Turbulence
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Budget Surplus Rockets to Record High in January
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Brazil's Net Debt-to-GDP Ratio Slightly Drops in January 2025, Showcasing Financial Stability
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Indian Deposit Growth Holds Steady at 10.3% as of March 2025
  • 2025-03-15 05:10:07
    CFTC Reports Decline in Gold Speculative Net Positions for March 2025
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Euro Zone Speculators Flip to Net Long on the Euro as CFTC Data Reveals Trend Reversal
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Surge in Silver Speculative Interest As CFTC Net Positions Climb to 59.5K
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Natural Gas Speculative Positions Continue Downward Trend, Reaches -93.0k
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Sterling Surge: CFTC Reports Increased Speculative Net Positions in GBP to 29.2K Points
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Swiss Franc Speculative Positioning Shows Slight Uptick, CFTC Data Reveals
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    U.S. CFTC Wheat Positions Narrower Than Expected in Latest Report
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Soybeans Speculative Net Positions Narrow as CFTC Reports Latest Figures
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Speculative Bets on S&P 500 Surge as CFTC Reports New Data
    2025-03-15 05:10:07
    Nasdaq 100 Speculative Net Positions Increase, Signals Growing Investor Confidence
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.