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14.03.202517:02 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD:3月14日(美國交易時段)的初學者簡單交易技巧

Relevance up to 07:00 UTC--4

英鎊交易分析及交易提示

當價格測試到1.2934時,恰逢MACD指標從零水平開始向下運動,這確認了進場點的有效性。結果,該貨幣對僅下跌了15個點。

英鎊對於1月份英國GDP萎縮的消息做出了輕微的下跌反應。然而,跌幅不大,顯示出英鎊對短期經濟波動的韌性。交易者很可能已經將年初經濟增長放緩的潛在負面影響計入價格中。

此外,市場焦點已經轉向英格蘭銀行的未來行動。預計中央銀行將繼續實施貨幣政策寬鬆,這可能對英鎊造成壓力。1月份GDP的下降進一步鞏固了這一預期。

今天,將發布幾份美國經濟報告。如果密歇根大學消費者信心指數和通脹預測令人失望,美元可能面臨下行壓力,這有可能進一步支持英鎊的上漲。但地緣政治發展和全球經濟變化可能增加市場的波動性。

在日內交易中,我將專注於情景#1和情景#2。

Exchange Rates 14.03.2025 analysis

買入信號

情境 #1:在圖表上的綠色線1.2955進行買入英鎊是個可行選擇,目標價格是1.2990(較粗的綠色線)。在1.2990,我計劃退出多頭頭寸並開立空頭頭寸,目標是30-35點的下修。今日的上升趨勢支持英鎊的進一步走強。

重要提示!在買入之前,確保MACD指標在零水平以上並剛剛開始上升。

情境 #2:如果價格兩次測試1.2931,而MACD指標在超賣區域,將出現另一個買入機會。這將限制該貨幣對的下行潛力並觸發向上的反轉。潛在目標:1.2955和1.2990。

賣出信號

情境 #1:在價格跌破1.2931(圖表上的紅色線)後,賣出英鎊是個選擇,可能導致該貨幣對快速下跌。賣家的主要目標將是1.2898,我計劃在此退出空頭頭寸並逆向買入,目標是20-25點的反彈。如果美國經濟數據超出預期,賣壓將增加。

重要提示!在賣出之前,確保MACD指標在零水平以下並剛剛開始下降。

情境 #2:如果價格兩次測試1.2955,而MACD指標在超買區域,將出現另一個賣出機會。這將限制該貨幣對的上行潛力並觸發向下的反轉。潛在目標:1.2931和1.2898。

Exchange Rates 14.03.2025 analysis

圖表分析

  • 細綠線 – 買入倉位的進場價格
  • 粗綠線 – 預期的止盈或手動獲利價位,因為此點之後的進一步上漲可能性不大
  • 細紅線 – 賣出倉位的進場價格
  • 粗紅線 – 預期的止盈或手動獲利價位,因為此點之後的進一步下跌可能性不大
  • MACD指標:進入市場時需密切關注超買與超賣區域

初學者交易者的重要提示

外匯交易的初學者在入市時應謹慎。在發佈重要經濟報告之前,最好不要進入市場,以避免遭受劇烈的價格波動。

如果你決定在新聞發布時交易,一定要使用止損單以減少潛在損失。沒有止損保護,特別是當你在沒有適當風險管理的情況下進行大批量交易時,賬戶餘額會迅速減少。

請記住:成功的交易需要一個清晰的交易計劃,如上文所述。根據當前市場走勢做出衝動的交易決策是日內交易者的失敗策略。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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