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19.03.202511:52 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 3月19日美國市場新聞摘要

美股下跌因聯準會決策將至且地緣政治緊張局勢加劇,黃金因不穩定達到歷史新高

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

本應開始歡慶其年度開發者大會的Nvidia,卻見其股價下跌。而Tesla則因Elon Musk最近的動作而依然震盪,RBC更調低了該公司的目標價格,給其帶來了打擊。Alphabet繼續著昂貴收購的策略,在宣布與Wiz達成320億美元的交易後,股價也下滑。結果,道瓊指數下跌了0.62%,標普500下跌了1.07%,納斯達克更是暴跌了1.71%。

這場市場動盪主要是由於市場對聯邦儲備系統決策的預期。儘管市場已經計入了今年降息60個基點的預期,但聯儲局仍對降息保持謹慎,堅持先評估經濟狀況再決定是否採取行動。與此同時,通脹再次出現驚訝,上升的進口價格引發了投資者的擔憂。詳情請點擊此處

在聯儲局決策前,美國股市在連續增長後出現修正

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

所有主要指數均收於下跌區域:道瓊指數下跌0.6%,標普500指數下跌1.1%,納斯達克下滑1.7%。標普500指數收於5,614點,仍在5,500至6,000的範圍內。在連續兩個正向交易日後,投資者可能期望市場喘息片刻,但事實並非如此。儘管有重大消息傳出,市場領頭企業如Tesla(-5.3%)、Nvidia(-3.4%)、Meta(-3.7%)和Alphabet(-2.3%)的表現拖累了指數。

特朗普與普京的電話交談未能達到預期效果。白宮報導了這次會談,指出兩位領導人討論了潛在的停火協議,但特朗普顯然期望更多。通常,他會在社交媒體上分享勝利,但這次卻出現了長時間的沉默。或許他希望立即達成停戰,考慮到他的特使Witktoff剛剛在莫斯科進行數小時的談判。但奇蹟沒有發生 —— 市場也注意到了這一點。點擊連結了解詳情。

美國全球地位削弱,在貿易緊張和關稅上調的背景下,引發資金外流和標普 500 指數下跌

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

美國曾被視為世界經濟中心,如今卻面臨自身行為的後果,資金正流出該國,而標普500自2月高點下跌8.6%。從金額上看,這相當於市值損失5萬億美元。責任在誰?部分原因是華盛頓本身:隨著唐納·川普重返白宮,美國對中國徵收了20%的關稅。

資本流入的動態也很有啟示意義。控制著4260億美元的投資者已將其對美國股票的敞口削減了40個百分點,創下記錄。這些投資者對美國股票的分配目前僅為23%,是自2023年6月以來的最低水平。相較之下,歐洲正經歷資本流入,投資組合中歐洲股票的比例達到了自2021年以來的最高水平。詳情請點擊鏈接查看。

Andreeva Natalya,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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