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19.03.202519:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD:3月19日(美國交易時段)新手交易者的簡單交易技巧

英鎊交易回顧及交易建議

在MACD指標已經大幅跌破零點的情況下,1.2975水平的測試限制了該貨幣對的下跌潛力。因此,我並未選擇賣出英鎊。當MACD處於超賣區時,對1.2975的第二次測試觸發了買入的情境二。然而,正如圖表所示,預期的增長並未實現。

顯然,市場在FOMC利率決議及未來貨幣政策評論之前已進入觀望狀態。許多投資者預期此次會議會發出進一步降息的信號,從而支撐放緩的美國經濟。然而,任何偏向於寬鬆的言論可能會推高英鎊,而美聯儲的鷹派語調可能會增加對英鎊的壓力。技術分析表明,目前的回調是暫時的。英鎊仍處於上升趨勢中,突破1.3000可能會引發另一波牛市反彈。

對於我的日內策略,我將專注於情境一和情境二。

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

買入信號

情況#1:我計劃在今天當價格達到1.2978時(圖表上的綠色線)買入英鎊,目標上漲到1.3011(較粗綠色線)。在1.3011時,我將退出所有多頭倉位並開立空頭倉位,目標為下跌30-35點的修正行情。預計持續的上升趨勢將支持英鎊進一步增長。重要!在購買之前,請確認MACD指標位於零之上,且剛開始上升。

情況#2:如果1.2953進行了兩次連續測試,而MACD指標處於超賣區,我也計劃買入英鎊。這將限制該貨幣對的下行潛力,並觸發市場向上反轉。在這種情況下,我期望價格上升到相反的1.2978和1.3011水平。

賣出信號

情況#1:我計劃在價格跌破1.2953(圖表上的紅線)後賣出英鎊,這應該會引發快速下跌。賣方的關鍵目標將是1.2924,在這裡我將退出所有空頭倉位並立即在相反方向買入,預期價格將反彈20-25點。如果聯儲局保持鷹派立場,賣方可能會更加活躍。重要!在賣出之前,請確保MACD指標位於零之下,且剛開始下降。

情況#2:如果1.2978進行了兩次連續測試,而MACD指標處於超買區,我也計劃賣出英鎊。這將限制該貨幣對的上行潛力,並導致市場向下反轉。在這種情況下,我期望價格下降到相反的1.2953和1.2924水平。

Exchange Rates 19.03.2025 analysis

圖表說明

  • 細綠線 – 買入工具的進場價格
  • 粗綠線 – 建議的獲利了結水準或手動獲利區,因為超過此水準的進一步增長不太可能
  • 細紅線 – 賣出工具的進場價格
  • 粗紅線 – 建議的獲利了結水準或手動獲利區,因為超過此水準的進一步下降不太可能
  • MACD指標 – 進場交易前需注意超買和超賣區域

重要提示

外匯市場的新手交易者在做出市場進場決策時應保持謹慎。在主要經濟報告發布前,最好避免進入市場以免遭遇突然的價格波動。如果選擇在新聞發布期間交易,務必設定止損單以降低風險。沒有止損保護的交易可能會導致資金迅速損失,尤其是在忽略資金管理並使用大額頭寸的情況下。

切記:成功交易需要明確和有結構的交易計劃,類似於上文所述的計劃。基於實時價格波動的臨時交易決策對於日內交易者而言是一種失敗的策略。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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