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20.03.202510:32 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 比特幣目標衝擊 90,000 美元

在昨天的聯邦儲備會議結束後，由於央行已經找不到有力的理由來保持高利率，比特幣和以太坊重新開始走高。儘管聯儲會聲稱由於通脹而堅持緊縮貨幣政策，但預期中的經濟放緩最終將迫使政策轉向。加密貨幣市場立即作出反應，應聲上漲。

Exchange Rates 20.03.2025 analysis

投資者看到重新激活風險偏好的信號

在不確定性和高利率的壓力下感到疲憊的投資者，將政策放寬的微妙暗示視作重返風險資產的綠燈，尤其是加密貨幣。因此，今天亞市交易時段，比特幣短暫達到88,000美元，明顯瞄準重返90,000美元以上。

特朗普的加密貨幣會議演講：市場催化劑？

今天值得關注的一個重要事件是唐納德·特朗普在數位資產峰會上的演講，這是美國總統首次在加密貨幣會議上發言。交易員將密切分析每一句話，尋找有關政府加密政策未來方向的線索。一個正面的立場可能引發加密市場爆發性上漲。而負面的言論則可能引發短期恐慌和回調。除了當前的價格波動外，特朗普的演講可能為未來的監管行動定下基調，成為數位資產的關鍵時刻。

比特幣減半周期：歷史視角

最近數據顯示，目前的比特幣減半周期已完成了23%。在2020年，這一水平與市場週期性高峰一致，引發了對可能重演該情景的猜測。然而，在2013年和2017年，比特幣較不為人知且市值較低，這一水平在主要牛市來臨之前出現。這表明當前的市場環境可能是強勁上升趨勢的前奏，甚至可能讓最有經驗的交易員感到意外。

Exchange Rates 20.03.2025 analysis

比特幣技術前景

買家目標是回升至87,000美元，這是一個關鍵水平，開啟通往89,400美元的道路，而91,400美元近在咫尺。最終目標為93,900美元——突破此水平將確認回歸中期牛市。如果出現下跌，預計在85,000美元會有強勁的買盤興趣。跌破此水平可能會將BTC推低至83,200美元，延伸目標為81,500美元。

Exchange Rates 20.03.2025 analysis

以太坊技術展望

若能穩定保持在 $2,043 以上，將為觸及 $2,082 清除障礙。最終目標是 $2,128 ——突破該水平將意味著中期看漲趨勢。如果 ETH 回落，預計買家會在 $1,989 介入。若跌破該點，可能會使 ETH 下滑至 $1,954，進一步的下行目標是 $1,909。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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