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26.03.202510:39 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 比特幣在突破90,000美元之前徘徊

當你考慮是否要購買比特幣時，全球最大的資產管理公司 BlackRock 正在積極增加其代幣化基金 BUIDL 的 ETH 持倉。

此舉凸顯了機構投資者對加密貨幣資產的興趣日益增加，以及這類資產逐漸融入傳統金融工具。BUIDL 很可能為投資者提供機會，使他們能夠間接參與以太坊生態系統，而無需直接持有 ETH，這降低了進入門檻並簡化了投資過程。

Exchange Rates 26.03.2025 analysis

BlackRock增加對ETH的持有量可能通過提高市場需求和流動性來對以太坊價格產生正面影響。此外，這也向其他機構投資者發出信號，鼓勵他們探索數字資產和區塊鏈技術的潛力。通過對ETH表現出信心，BlackRock實際上是在使加密貨幣作為一個資產類別獲得大投資者的關注和認可。市場將密切關注BlackRock在這方面的未來行動。另外，自今年三月中旬以來，持有1萬到10萬ETH的巨鯨錢包數量增加了30%，這表明主要投資者正在積極建立該資產的持倉。同時，Strategy的資產負債表上的比特幣數量已超過50萬BTC。該公司目前持有506,137 BTC，平均購買價格為$66,608，約占比特幣總供應量的2.4%。

此類比特幣集中於單一公司的現象引發了既讚賞又擔憂的情緒。一方面，它肯定了Strategy對加密貨幣長期潛力的信心。另一方面，由一個玩家控制的市場份額過大可能影響BTC價格的波動性和穩定性。儘管如此，這種情況加強了主要市場玩家對該資產的強烈信心，可能會對全球首個加密貨幣的價格帶來正面影響。關於加密愛好者，Arthur Hayes在近期的文章中表示，比特幣可能會上漲至$110,000，然後再回測到$76,500的水平。

這一增長的推動力將是美聯儲在4月1日前幾乎完成量化緊縮（QT），並可能開始量化寬鬆（QE）來刺激經濟。美聯儲的資產負債表縮減使市場流動性減少，對資產價格造成壓力。此過程的結束與潛在的QE切換可能成為比特幣及整個加密貨幣市場上升的催化劑。

重要的是，Hayes的觀點在加密社群中確實吸引了注意，但這僅僅是其中一種可能的情境。加密貨幣市場不可預測，且受到了包括美聯儲貨幣政策之外的多種因素影響。

Exchange Rates 26.03.2025 analysis

從比特幣的技術圖表來看，目前買家正目標回到 $88,700 的水平，這將為 $90,600 調開啟道路，從那裡距離 $92,700 的水平已經不遠。最遠的目標將是約 $93,900 的高峰，突破該水平將標誌著比特幣重返中期看漲市場。如果比特幣出現下跌，買家預計在 $87,000 的水平附近進場。若該工具下跌至此區域以下，可能會迅速將 BTC 推至 $85,000 區域，最遠的目標是 $83,200。

Exchange Rates 26.03.2025 analysis

關於以太坊的技術走勢，若能明確鞏固在$2,067水準之上，將直接開啟通向$2,100的道路。最遠目標將是全年高點，約在$2,143，突破這一水準將意味著中期牛市行情的回歸。若發生下跌，預期買盤將出現在$2,032水準。若重新跌破此區域，可能迅速將ETH推低至$2,000區域，最遠目標為$1,974。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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