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26.03.202511:54 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD。分析與預測

Exchange Rates 26.03.2025 analysis

今日黃金持續呈現正面走勢,但價格上漲的確鑿性仍然較弱。由於美國總統唐納德·川普於4月2日正式實施的關稅政策推動了市場的不確定性,這種不確定性支持黃金價格維持在較高水平,並成為推動這種貴金屬價格上漲的關鍵因素。同時,美聯儲預測年內將進行兩次25個基點的利率降息,進一步助長了黃金的看漲前景。

與此同時,俄羅斯和烏克蘭在美國的調解下達成了協議,停止在黑海和能源基礎設施上的軍事襲擊。圍繞中國刺激措施以促進消費的樂觀情緒,支持了股市的正面情緒。這種樂觀情緒阻止了黃金多頭進行積極的買入行為。

此外,美國美元在從接近三週高點回落後的重新買入,也使交易員不願對黃金進行積極的多頭押注。此外,整體上風險偏向正面的市場氛圍限制了XAU/USD配對的上行潛力。

今日,交易員應關注美國耐久財訂單報告,以期為XAU/USD提供一些短期動能。然而,市場的主要焦點仍然是週五發布的美國核心個人消費支出(PCE)價格指數。

技術展望

從技術角度來看,圍繞3000美元關鍵心理水平的多頭韌性,結合日線圖上正面的振盪指標,表明黃金最小阻力的路徑繼續向上。超越昨日高點3036美元水平的走勢將確認建設性的前景,並有望將XAU/USD推向上週達到的歷史高位。

反之,3000美元的整數關口仍然是關鍵支撐和關鍵水平。若決定性跌破該水平,可能觸發技術性拋售,將XAU/USD拖向2980-2978美元水平。更深度的回調可能進一步延伸至下個重要支撐區,即前次突破點——前阻力位——2956美元附近。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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