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27.03.202506:42 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 如何在3月27日交易GBP/USD貨幣對？初學者簡單小技巧與交易分析

週三交易分析

GBP/USD 1小時圖表

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

週三，英鎊兌美元匯率顯示出下跌的走勢，最終與宏觀經濟背景一致。在當天，交易者關注兩份報告。在英國，通脹報告被公佈，而在美國，則是耐用品訂單報告。英國2月份的通脹數據低於預期，儘管這對市場的影響不大（通脹依然過高，安德魯•貝利預期消費者價格會再度上升），但卻成為英鎊下跌的形式上的原因。美國耐用品訂單報告的數據超出預測近2%，這為美元提供了額外的支持。然而，我們在隔夜見證了什麼呢？英鎊又意外上漲，且沒有明顯的原因。修正持續，但非常微弱，而上升趨勢線則維持了看漲的市場情緒。

英鎊/美元5分鐘圖表

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

在5分鐘的時間框架中只形成了一個交易信號。在歐洲時段，英國消費者價格指數公佈後，價格跌破1.2913水平並持續下跌。因此，初學交易者可以在任何位置平倉空頭頭寸，這都是有利可圖的。

周四的交易策略：

雖然GBP/USD在1小時圖中應該已經開始了下跌趨勢，但特朗普正全力阻止這一趨勢。我們仍預期英鎊在中期內將下降至1.1800目標。不確定特朗普對美元的影響會持續多久，當這一運動結束時，各時間框架的技術圖像可能會發生劇變。目前，長期趨勢仍指向下行。英鎊的最近增長並非毫無根據，但再次過於強烈且不合邏輯。

周四，GBP/USD可能繼續下跌，因為1小時圖上的技術設置支持這一情景。英鎊再次超買且價格不合理地昂貴。

需要關注的5分鐘圖上的關鍵水平包括：1.2301、1.2372–1.2387、1.2445、1.2502–1.2508、1.2547、1.2613、1.2680–1.2685、1.2723、1.2791–1.2798、1.2848–1.2860、1.2913、1.2980–1.2993、1.3043、1.3102–1.3107。周四英國沒有重要事件或報告，但美國將公佈第四季度GDP的最終報告。如果報告結果低於預期，即季度數據低於2.3%，那將是一則相當重要的發布。

核心交易系統規則：

  1. 信號強度：信號形成所需時間越短（反彈或突破），信號越強。
  2. 假信號：如果在某一水平附近的兩次或更多次交易出現假信號，則應忽略該水平後續給出的信號。
  3. 盤整市場：在盤整條件下，貨幣對可能生成許多虛假信號或不產生信號。最好是在盤整市場跡象出現時停止交易。
  4. 交易時間：在歐洲時段開始和美國時段中期之間開倉，然後手動平倉所有交易。
  5. MACD信號：在小時圖中，僅在良好波動性和明確趨勢（由趨勢線或趨勢通道確認）期間交易MACD信號。
  6. 緊密水平：如果水平之間距離過近（5–20點），則將其視為支撐或阻力區域。
  7. 止損：當價格朝著目標方向波動20點後，將止損設置為保本。

關鍵圖表元素：

支撐和阻力水平：這些是開倉或平倉的位置目標，還可以作為設置獲利目標訂單的位置。

紅色線條：顯示當前趨勢的通道或趨勢線，表示偏好交易的方向。

MACD指標（14,22,3）：圖表柱狀圖和信號線作為輔助交易信號來源。

重要事件和報告：可在經濟日曆中找到，可能對價格走勢產生重大影響。為避免急劇逆轉，應小心或在發布期間退出市場。

外匯交易新手應該記住，並非每一筆交易都是盈利的。制定清晰策略和適當資金管理對於長期交易成功至關重要。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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