empty
cn
搜索
支持
即时开户
交易平台
入金/出金
搜索
面向初学者 对于交易者 对于合作伙伴 休息一下 About InstaSpot
cn
For Traders
外汇市场分析
Crypto-currencies

27.03.202509:31 Forex Analysis & Reviews: BTC/USD 分析。3月27日。比特幣缺乏增長潛力

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

在BTC/USD的4小時圖中，波浪結構相當明顯。在完成由五個完整波段組成的牛市趨勢後，目前已開始出現一個修正性下跌階段。基於此，我不預期比特幣會在未來幾個月內升至$110,000–$115,000之上。

由於來自機構交易者、某些國家的政府，甚至是養老基金的不斷投資報告，新聞背景對比特幣的增長給予了支持。然而，特朗普及其政策將投資者趕出了市場，而趨勢也不可能永遠維持牛市。從1月20日開始的波浪不太像是一個衝動波。因此，我們可能正在面對一個複雜的修正結構，這可能持續數月。在這一初始波浪中，結構非常複雜，但可以相當清晰地識別出a-b-c-d-e五波模式。如果當前的波浪結構是正確的，那麼現在正形成一個向上的修正波浪，該波浪的傳統結構可能由三個波段組成。

BTC/USD匯率已經穩定下來，目前的波浪結構暗示潛在的增長。但是，這次反彈現實上能有多強呢？當比特幣下跌$10,000或$15,000時，許多市場參與者開始恐慌。然而，在我看來，對於像比特幣這樣超波動的資產，這樣的變動是小幅的——這個範圍可以在短短幾天內實現。比特幣從其歷史高點已經下降了$33,000。即使這樣的修正看起來也不夠強或深，不足以期望形成新的牛市趨勢。因此，我預測會出現一個修正波浪或一系列波浪，之後更大的修正結構可能會繼續發展。

目前市場上有很多關於機構投資者甚至美國政府對比特幣興趣的討論。但請讓我提醒你，對比特幣的興趣已經增長了多年，但這從未阻止過它在下跌趨勢中下降幾萬美元。我相信大玩家們正如應該的那樣使用比特幣來獲利。結果，當上升趨勢結束後，市場參與者開始獲利了結。價格下降，提供未來以更低價格購買比特幣的機會。除非是MicroStrategy，否則沒有人會在歷史高點附近購買。

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

最終結論

根據對BTC/USD的分析，我得出目前的增長階段已經結束。所有跡象都指向一個複雜的多月修正在前，因此我之前建議不要購買加密貨幣，現在更是如此。比特幣跌破第4波浪的低點表明轉向看跌趨勢段，可能是修正性的。因此，我認為最佳行動方針是尋找賣出機會。不久可能會出現一個短期修正上升波浪，在此期間可以考慮新的賣出機會，目標大約在$68,000和可能下降到$55,000。

在更高的波浪尺度上，顯示出一個五波上升結構。修正性或全面的看跌趨勢結構現在正在形成。

我的分析核心原則：

  1. 波浪結構應該簡單明瞭。複雜的形態很難交易，往往會出現意外變化。
  2. 如果不確定市場情況，最好退出觀望。
  3. 方向永遠不可能有100%的確定性。始終使用保護性止損訂單。
  4. 波浪分析可以與其他形式的分析及交易策略結合使用。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
立即从分析师的建议受益
充值交易账户
开设交易账户

InstaSpot分析评论将让您充分了解市场趋势！ 作为InstaSpot的客户，您将获得大量的免费服务以实现有效的交易。

赚取InstaSpot的加密货币利率变化
下载MetaTrader 4并开始您的第一笔交易

See Also

Forex Analysis & Reviews
All analytics
Stock Markets
Hot forecast
Trading plan
Crypto-currencies
Trend line
Video analytics
Instrument:
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDCHF
USDCAD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
GBPJPY
EURGBP
EURJPY
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Silver
Gold
#USDX
COVID-19
Bitcoin
Photonews
All Photonews
Forex News
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Philippines Faces Significant Budget Deficit in February 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    India's Manufacturing Sector Sees a Surge as PMI Hits 58.1 in March 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    China Unveils First Green Sovereign Bond, Targets London Listing
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Australia Rejects Tariffs, Eyes Asian Trade
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Palm Oil Surges After Holiday Resumption
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Kiwi Dollar Gains for 2nd Session
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Japanese Yen Steady Ahead of US Tariff Rollout
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Australian Dollar Rises Despite Tariff Concerns
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    BoJ Governor Warns of Global Trade Risks from New U.S. Tariffs
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    South Korean Won Extends Gains
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Brazil's Industrial Production Stagnates with a Slight Dip in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Brazil's Industrial Production Sees Modest Growth in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Ghana Inflation Rate Slows to 5-Month Low
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Applications Decline for Third Week
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Rates Edge Down Slightly: MBA
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. Mortgage Refinance Index Experiences Decline, Reaching 710.4
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Mortgage Market Index in the U.S. Shows Decline as it Falls to 243.6
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. MBA Purchase Index Shows Uptick, Reaches 158.2 in Latest Update
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Applications Decline Rate Slows: A Glimmer of Hope in Housing Market?
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate Sees Marginal Drop in April
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Sensex Ends on Positive Note
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Irish Jobless Rate Up from All-Time Low
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Logistics Growth Slows Sharply in March
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Ireland's Unemployment Rate Edges Up Slightly to 4.0% in March
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Cyprus Retail Sales Growth at 3-Month High
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Ghana's Consumer Price Index Declines to 22.40% in March 2025 Year-Over-Year
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    German Bund Auction Signals Investor Optimism as Yields Decline
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Sao Paulo Monthly Inflation Accelerates to 4-Month High
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Hang Seng Muted at Finish
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Philippines Budget Deficit Expands in February
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Futures Fall Slightly
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    London Stocks on Cautious Note
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    DAX on Negative Note
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    European Stocks Lower
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Spain’s February Tourist Arrivals Break Records
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Spain Jobless Falls More Than Expected
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Turkey Manufacturing Activity Falls to 5-Month Low
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    France Budge Deficit Narrows in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Brazil's IPC-Fipe Inflation Index Sees Uptick in March
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Turkey's Manufacturing PMI Falls Further in March, Reaching 47.30
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Spain's Unemployment Change Dramatically Improves in March
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    French Government Budget Deficit Widens Significantly in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Romanian Producer Inflation at Near 2-Year High
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Japan 10-Year Yield Falls on Haven Demand
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Romania's PPI Surges to 4.03% in February, Ending January's Negative Streak
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    European Markets Set for a Lower Open
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    India Stocks Rise in Early Deals
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US 10-Year Yield Stabilizes Ahead of Tariff Rollout
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    New Zealand Stocks Close Nearly Flat
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    India Manufacturing PMI Revised Higher
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Philippines Faces Significant Budget Deficit in February 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    India's Manufacturing Sector Sees a Surge as PMI Hits 58.1 in March 2025
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    China Unveils First Green Sovereign Bond, Targets London Listing
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Australia Rejects Tariffs, Eyes Asian Trade
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Palm Oil Surges After Holiday Resumption
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Kiwi Dollar Gains for 2nd Session
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Japanese Yen Steady Ahead of US Tariff Rollout
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Australian Dollar Rises Despite Tariff Concerns
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    BoJ Governor Warns of Global Trade Risks from New U.S. Tariffs
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    South Korean Won Extends Gains
    Quick show
  • 2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Brazil's Industrial Production Stagnates with a Slight Dip in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Brazil's Industrial Production Sees Modest Growth in February
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Ghana Inflation Rate Slows to 5-Month Low
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Applications Decline for Third Week
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Rates Edge Down Slightly: MBA
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. Mortgage Refinance Index Experiences Decline, Reaching 710.4
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    Mortgage Market Index in the U.S. Shows Decline as it Falls to 243.6
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. MBA Purchase Index Shows Uptick, Reaches 158.2 in Latest Update
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    US Mortgage Applications Decline Rate Slows: A Glimmer of Hope in Housing Market?
    Quick show
    2025-04-02 14:07:59
    U.S. MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate Sees Marginal Drop in April
    Quick show
Company News
All news
InstaForex – Prime Sponsor of Traders Fair Lagos 2025!

InstaForex – Prime Sponsor of Traders Fair Lagos 2025!

InstaForex is proud to announce its participation in Traders Fair Lagos 2025 – one of the biggest financial events in Africa. As the Prime Sponsor, we warmly invite all traders, investors, and partners to visit our booth for unique opportunities, exclusive bonuses, and expert consultations. Why you can’t miss this event Traders Fair Lagos 2025 is not just an exhibition. It is a global platform to connect with leading financial experts. This event brings together traders, brokers, analysts, and investors from all over the world to explore trends, strategies, and technologies shaping the future of financial markets.

Show more
Caricatures
All caricatures
现在无法通话？
提出您的问题，用 在线帮助.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.