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27.03.202510:58 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 歐元/美元。分析與預測

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

今天,歐元/美元匯率呈現一些積極的趨勢,打破了連續六天的下跌趨勢。

這種看漲的動能正在將現貨價格推向1.0785水準,創下新的每日高點。這一上升趨勢受到走弱的美元支持,美元從三週高點回落,為歐元創造了更為樂觀的展望。

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

近期美國總統Donald Trump的一些舉措——包括對進口汽車、輕型卡車以及所有鋼鐵和鋁徵收25%的關稅,以及4月2日即將施行的對等關稅——正在引發市場不確定性,並促成美元指數的下跌。這反過來又支持了歐元/美元匯率,尤其是在美聯儲預測今年底前將進行兩次25個基點的降息的背景下。

此外,歐盟正在準備針對美國關稅進行報復性措施,這可能會加劇貿易緊張局勢,增加歐美之間全面貿易戰的風險。這讓交易商在歐元上採取激進多頭頭寸時保持謹慎。此外,今天股市的疲軟基調可能支撐美元作為避險貨幣,限制歐元/美元的上行潛力。

為了識別更好的交易機會,應關注美國第四季度GDP報告的發布、每週初請失業金數據及待售房屋銷售數據。此外,主要FOMC成員的講話可能會對美元注入波動性,為歐元/美元帶來一些動能。然而,主要焦點仍是週五發布的美國核心個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數。

技術展望:如果匯率能夠保持在1.0780水準以上並突破1.0800的心理關口,這將為進一步上漲鋪平道路。然而,1.0725的支撐位——目前200天SMA所在的地方——仍然至關重要。跌破該水準可能會引發額外的賣壓。下一個支撐位在1.0700水準,接著是100天EMA附近的1.0620。不過,只要日線圖上的振盪指標保持在正區間,歐元/美元匯率似乎決心守住陣地。

美元表現概覽:下表顯示了今天美元相對於主要上市貨幣的百分比變動。

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

美元兌換加元的匯率表現最為強勢。

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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