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27.03.202511:44 Forex Analysis & Reviews: XAU/USD – 分析與預測

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

黃金繼續保持其日內漲幅，交易價格接近每週高位約 $3036。這是由於多個因素，包括美國貿易政策的不確定性及其對全球經濟的影響，以及市場對美聯儲降息的預期。這些因素導致美元從三週高位小幅回落，並成為支持這種貴金屬的關鍵因素之一。

Exchange Rates 27.03.2025 analysis

然而，由於中國副總理丁薛祥承諾提供更強的政策支持，全球風險情緒顯現輕微改善，這可能限制黃金的上行空間，因為交易者在避險押注上不再如此激進。此外，美國國債收益率的溫和上升，可能阻止交易者建立黃金的激進多頭頭寸，進一步抑制金價的漲勢。為了在黃金市場尋找更明確的走向，交易者正在等待週五公布的美國個人消費支出 (PCE) 物價指數。與此同時，今天美國的宏觀經濟數據可能會為 XAU/USD 貨幣對提供一些動力。

技術展望：在心理水平 $3000 附近的看漲韌性以及日圖上的正向振盪器，為進一步的上行創造了一個有利的環境。如果金價能夠突破目前 $3057–3058 區域的歷史高位，則可為近幾個月來觀察到的上行趨勢的延續鋪平道路。

另一方面，$3020–3019 之間的支撐區域，標誌著今天的日內低點，在防止立刻回落至關鍵心理水平 $3000 時顯得重要。跌破該水平將暴露下個支撐位於 $2980。突破 $2980 可能會導致進一步的虧損，潛在跌至 $2956—這個曾經的橫向阻力區現在已成為一個關鍵支撐。若跌破這水平，可能會引發技術性拋售，進而開啟更深層的虧損空間。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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