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28.03.202505:01 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 2025年3月28日 歐元/美元匯率預測

昨天的主要經濟報告—美國第四季度 GDP—數字錄得 2.4%,高於預期的 2.3%。然而,三大機構—Moody's、Fitch Ratings 和 S&P Global—警告,由於限制性關稅可能導致經濟下滑,而美國國會預算辦公室也下調了今年增長預測至 1.9%,同時預測通脹穩定。因此,歐元上升了 60 個點子,重新獲得了 1.0762 的技術水平。這證實了 3 月 26 日跌破支撐位是錯誤的,並表明較 2–3 天前更嚴重的反轉跡象。

Exchange Rates 28.03.2025 analysis

但有一個需注意之處—Marlin振盪器在每日時間框架的信號線在週三退出正區域後尚未重新回到正領域。當價格超過昨天的高點1.0822時,Marlin將再次進入增長區域。這將是朝1.0955目標邁進的信號。如果突破了此阻力位,將打開通往1.1027的道路。

然而,如果價格跌破昨天的低點1.0733,可能不會在第一個支撐位1.0667止步,因為市場在兩個基本敘述間搖擺不定:即正在醞釀的危機和資本流向安全避險資產,可能帶來國債的量化寬鬆支持,以及下一季度風險偏好的重新出現。

Exchange Rates 28.03.2025 analysis

在H4圖表上,Marlin振盪器的信號線從其範圍的下邊界急劇反轉,現在處於多頭區域。平衡指標線阻止了昨日的價格飆升。若價格突破昨日的高點,也可能使其超過這條平衡線。主要情景仍然是看漲。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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