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02.04.202512:22 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD. 分析與預測

Exchange Rates 02.04.2025 analysis

今天,USD/CAD 貨幣對試圖停止其先前的跌勢,試圖在 1.4300 水平之上穩住腳步。預計美國總統唐納.川普將於北美交易時段宣佈關稅措施,這造成了一定的不確定性,交易者可能會處於觀望狀態,等待市場的反應。

因美國新關稅而潛在的加元疲弱確實是重要因素。然而,近期油價的上漲——這通常對和商品相關的加元有利——可能有助於抵消負面影響。有趣的是,美國聯邦儲備系統減息的預期也限制了美元的增長,令USD/CAD 貨幣對處於複雜的情況,限制了多頭的表現。

從技術角度來看,100 天簡單移動均線(SMA)的支撐是一個重要觀察點。然而,在採取積極短倉之前,明智的做法是等待1.4300圓週關鍵水準下方的持續突破及認同。隨後的下跌可能會將該貨幣對拖至上週的波動低點附近1.4235,並有可能延伸至1.4200心理關鍵位的下方。明確跌破該區域可能對賣方構成新的催化劑,特別是因為相對強弱指數(RSI)剛開始轉向負值區域。

另一方面,任何進一步上漲將在50天SMA和1.4350水準遇到阻力。突破該阻力可能會引發一輪短倉補位,讓該貨幣對重新站上1.4400。進一步的買盤可能打開接近1.4440–1.4445中間阻力區的通道,並有可能進一步上漲至1.4480區域以及關鍵心理關卡1.4500及更高水平。

然而,只要震盪指標仍低於50,該貨幣對的最低阻力路徑仍然指向下行。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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