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14.04.202506:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 如何在4月14日交易GBP/USD貨幣對?初學者的簡單技巧和交易分析

週五交易分析

英鎊/美元 1小時圖表分析

Exchange Rates 14.04.2025 analysis

週五,英鎊/美元組合亦持續上升趨勢。原因與歐元/美元組合相同。週五的整體宏觀經濟背景對交易者幾乎沒有影響,雖然必須承認,英國的宏觀經濟數據強勁。二月份的GDP增長了0.5%,遠高於預期,工業生產也增長了1.5%,大大超出預測。結果使英鎊在當天早些時候獲得了一個額外的利好因素。但是否需要這個因素尚不清楚,因為英鎊幾乎在過去三個月中每天都在上升。貨幣對的進一步走勢將繼續取決於全球貿易戰的狀態,尤其是美國與歐盟以及美國與中國的關係。

英鎊/美元五分鐘圖表

Exchange Rates 14.04.2025 analysis

在五分鐘時間框架的星期五,價格也頻繁改變方向,波動性保持高位。因此,產生了大量的交易信號,其中約一半表現欠佳。如前所述,目前市場波動情緒化而且不穩定。雖然有些信號能帶來豐厚的利潤,但錯誤信號的比例也相當高。

星期一的交易策略:

在小時圖上,GBP/USD 應該早就進入下降趨勢,但特朗普繼續竭盡所能推低美元。自全球貿易戰正式爆發以來,我們已經不再對貨幣對做出長期預測。市場仍然受到特朗普及其決策的控制:他宣布新關稅,美元下跌。他提高關稅,美元再次下跌。當升級暫停時,市場橫向移動。

週一,GBP/USD 可能會繼續處於波動狀態。今日幾乎無法預測英鎊和美元的走勢。目前,該貨幣對正在逐步上升,但沒有人知道從北京、布魯塞爾或華盛頓會出現什麼新消息。

在五分鐘時間框架內,以下水準可用於交易:1.2502–1.2508、1.2547、1.2613、1.2680–1.2685、1.2723、1.2791–1.2798、1.2848–1.2860、1.2913、1.2980–1.2993、1.3043、1.3102–1.3107、1.3145–1.3167、1.3225、1.3272。

週一英國或美國沒有重大的事件排程,但這並不意味著全天不會有重要發展發生。貿易戰繼續並且正在加速。到目前為止,特朗普的"降價"對美元沒有積極影響。

核心交易系統規則:

  1. 信號強度:信號形成的時間越短(反彈或突破),則信號越強。
  2. 錯誤信號:如果在某一水準附近的兩筆或更多交易出現錯誤信號,則應忽略該水準的後續信號。
  3. 盤整市場:在盤整條件下,貨幣對可能產生很多錯誤信號或根本沒有信號。在盤整市場的跡象出現時最好停止交易。
  4. 交易時間:在歐洲開盤和美國市場中期之間開盤交易,然後手動平倉所有交易。
  5. MACD 信號:在小時圖上,僅在波動性良好且趨勢線或趨勢通道確認的明確趨勢期間交易 MACD 信號。
  6. 緊密水準:如果兩個水準過於接近(相差 5–20 點),則將其視作支撐或阻力區。
  7. 止損:在價格朝著預期方向移動 20 點後將止損設置到盈虧平衡。

主要圖表元素:

支撐和阻力水準:這些是開盤或收盤位置的目標水平,也可作為設置獲利點位的參考位置。

紅色線:指示當前趨勢的渠道或趨勢線,以及首選的交易方向。

MACD 指標 (14,22,3):直方圖和信號線作為輔助交易信號來源。

重要事件和報告:見於經濟日歷中,這些可能對價格波動產生重大影響。在發布期間請謹慎行事或退出市場以避免劇烈反轉。

外匯交易初學者應該記住,並非每筆交易都會盈利。制定清晰的策略和實踐良好的資金管理是長期交易成功的關鍵。

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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