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15.04.202508:21 Forex Analysis & Reviews: 4月15日初級交易者的日內策略

歐元和英鎊儘管在當天下半場的風險資產出現強烈修正中保持了對美元的優勢。

昨日,美聯儲官員的評論增強了美元的走勢,但買家最終未能守住其倉位。歐元仍具進一步增長的潛力,但這需要來自歐元區國家的有利經濟數據支持。今天在這方面似乎不會有困難。英鎊也可能對穩健的勞動力市場數據作出積極反應。

在當天上半場,我們將看到德國的ZEW經濟景氣指數和ZEW現況指數的發布。歐元區的類似景氣指標將與工業生產數據一併公佈。一天將以歐洲央行行長Christine Lagarde的講話結束,預計她不太可能在週四的歐洲央行會議之前談及貨幣政策前景,此次會議上交易員們預期會得到更具體的答案。

如前所述,英國將公佈關於失業救濟申請的數據。失業救濟申請人數是衡量英國勞動力市場健康狀況的重要指標。申請量增加意味著就業情況惡化,而申請量減少則表示改善。許多因素,包括整體經濟狀況、就業法規的變化及季節性趨勢,都會影響這一指標。英國的失業率同樣重要。高失業率可能意味著經濟放緩,對英鎊構成壓力。否則,英鎊兌美元匯率(GBP/USD)的對可能繼續上升。

若數據符合經濟學家的預期,推薦使用均值回歸策略。若數據顯著超出或低於預期,則動量策略更適用。

動量策略(突破):

EUR/USD

價格突破1.1377後買入,目標看向1.1467和1.1562

價格跌破1.1299後賣出,可能下降至1.1237和1.1167

GBP/USD

價格突破1.3210後買入,英鎊可能升至1.3262和1.3315

價格跌破1.3160後賣出,可能下探至1.3090和1.3030

USD/JPY

價格突破143.29後買入,目標看向143.77和144.17

價格跌破142.86後賣出,可能造成美元跌向142.32和141.82

均值回歸策略(回調):

Exchange Rates 15.04.2025 analysis

EUR/USD

在1.1383失敗突破後重新跌破此水平時可以考慮賣出

在1.1312失敗突破後重新回升至此水平時可以考慮買入

Exchange Rates 15.04.2025 analysis

GBP/USD

在1.3235上方突破失敗後回落至此水平以下時,考慮賣出

在1.3158下方突破失敗後回升至此水平以上時,考慮買入

Exchange Rates 15.04.2025 analysis

AUD/USD

在匯率突破0.6392以上失敗後並回落至此水平以下時,考慮賣出

在匯率跌破0.6320以下失敗後並反彈至此水平以上時,考慮買入

Exchange Rates 15.04.2025 analysis

USD/CAD

在突破1.3907失敗後回落至該水平以下時考慮賣出

在跌破1.3837失敗後回升至該水平以上時考慮買入

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Miroslaw Bawulski,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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