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Yesterday, the bears were the first to break out of the zone of uncertainty and away from the monthly medium-term trend (1.0504). Today, they need to confirm the result and, if possible, continue the decline. The immediate targets are the recent low at 1.0334 and the support at the final level of the monthly Ichimoku cross (1.0321). A breakthrough of these levels would open the path to the nearest monthly low at 0.9536, with additional support potentially coming from the 1.0201 area.
Yesterday's significant bearish move expanded the range of the classic Pivot levels, placing the next downward targets at 1.0294, 1.0235, and 1.0126—all currently far from the price chart. If the decline is halted, the bulls must reclaim key levels on the lower timeframes: 1.0403 (the central Pivot level of the day) and 1.0485 (the weekly long-term trend).
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Bears successfully reversed the pair from daily resistance levels, returning to the weekly Ichimoku cloud supports (1.2589–1.2587) and the monthly Fibonacci Kijun (1.2561). Breaking and updating the recent low at 1.2486 would restore the downtrend on the daily and weekly timeframes and initiate the formation of a bearish target for breaking the weekly Ichimoku cloud, with further monthly timeframe targets at 1.2290–1.2301. For the bulls, the nearest resistances remain at the levels of the daily Ichimoku cross at 1.2648–1.2680.
On the lower timeframes, bears hold the advantage, but the pair is currently in an upward correction. Resistance levels are located at 1.2619 (central Pivot level of the day) and 1.2668 (weekly long-term trend). A consolidation above the weekly trend could shift the balance of power, targeting further upward levels at 1.2675, 1.2781, and 1.2837 (classic Pivot levels). Conversely, if the correction ends and bearish activity resumes, intraday attention will focus on the supports at 1.2513, 1.2457, and 1.2351 (classic Pivot levels).
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*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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