empty
id
Cari
Bantuan
Pembukaan akun instan
Platform Trading
Deposit/Penarikan
Cari
P2P Pertukaran Pasar Keuangan Untuk Kitra Forum Tentang perusahaan
id
Untuk Trader
Analisis Forex
Wave analysis

05.01.202418:09 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD. Analysis for January 5th. European inflation rises again

The wave analysis of the 4-hour chart for the euro/dollar pair has become more complex. Over the past year, we have observed only three wave structures that constantly alternate with each other. Currently, the construction of another three-wave decline continues. The presumed wave 1 has been completed, but wave 2 or b has become more complex three or four times, and there are no guarantees that it won't become even more complex.

Although the news background cannot be considered "supportive of the European currency," the market always finds new reasons to increase demand for the pair. Such a situation is not normal. Even if the upward segment of the trend resumes, its internal structure will become completely unreadable.

The internal wave analysis of the presumed wave 2 or b has changed. Since the last downward wave turned out to be disproportionately large, I now interpret it as a wave b. If this is the case, wave c is currently being constructed, and the entire wave 2 or b can still end at any moment (or may have already ended). The current retreat from the reached highs looks convincing, so we can expect a transition to wave 3 or c construction.

Eurozone inflation followed Germany's lead.

On Friday, the euro/dollar currency pair saw a 20 basis point decline. However, such a statement should not confuse my readers – during the day, the amplitude of movements was quite high, and quotes changed direction several times. In the first half of the day, there was a decline. As expected, the report on European inflation showed an acceleration in the pace of price growth, but it was less than anticipated. The market's expectation-to-reality mismatch was only 0.1%: 2.9% y/y vs. 3.0% y/y.

However, technically, inflation accelerated less, which implies a drop in the euro since the market expected more. If inflation had risen by more than 3%, it would have meant that the ECB would postpone the start of the monetary policy tightening procedure indefinitely. The rise in inflation to 2.9% essentially means the same thing, but here, the expectation-to-reality ratio played a role. Since reality turned out to be less severe, the market had a reason to reduce demand for the euro.

A couple of hours ago, the Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment reports were released in America. These two reports can unequivocally be considered in favor of the dollar, but the market again failed or did not want to support the construction of a potential wave 3 or c. The US dollar rose for a very short period, then immediately retreated. An unsuccessful attempt to break through the 1.0881 level, corresponding to 61.8% Fibonacci, played a role.

Exchange Rates 05.01.2024 analysis

General conclusions.

Based on the analysis conducted, the construction of a bearish wave set continues. The targets around the 1.0463 mark have been perfectly worked out, and an unsuccessful attempt to break this level indicated a transition to the construction of a corrective wave. Wave 2 or b has taken on a completed form, so I expect the construction of an impulsive downward wave 3 or c with a significant decline in the pair soon. The unsuccessful attempt to break through the 1.1125 level, corresponding to 23.6% Fibonacci, indicated the market's readiness for selling.

On the larger wave scale, we can see that the construction of corrective wave 2 or b continues, which is no longer than 61.8% Fibonacci from the first wave. As I have already mentioned, this is not critical, and the scenario with the construction of wave 3 or c and a decline in the pair below the 1.04 level remains in force.

*Analisis pasar yang diposting disini dimaksudkan untuk meningkatkan pengetahuan Anda namun tidak untuk memberi instruksi trading.

Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
Manfaat dari rekomendasi para analis saat ini
Akun trading teratas
Buka akun trading

Tinjauan analitis InstaSpot akan membuat Anda menyadari sepenuhnya tren pasar! Sebagai klien InstaSpot, Anda dilengkapi dengan sejumlah besar layanan gratis untuk trading yang efisien.

Lihat juga

Forex Analysis & Reviews
Semua analisis
Pasar Saham
Prakiraan Terbaru
Rencana Trading
Cryptocurrency
Garis Tren
Analisis Video
Instrumen:
EURUSD
GBPUSD
USDCHF
USDCAD
USDJPY
AUDUSD
GBPJPY
EURGBP
EURJPY
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Silver
Gold
#USDX
COVID-19
Bitcoin
Berita foto
Semua berita foto
Berita Forex
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Singapura Menjaga Kebijakan Tetap Stabil di Tengah Moderasi Pertumbuhan dan Risiko Tarif
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Futures AS Amerika Serikat Stabil Menjelang Keputusan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    AS-China Pertimbangkan Perpanjangan Gencatan Tarif Menjelang Batas Waktu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham Selandia Baru Lesu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Chile Menurunkan Suku Bunga Sebesar 25 bps
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Tingkat Suku Bunga Chili Turun ke Level 4,75% pada Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Persediaan Minyak Mentah AS Naik Secara Tak Terduga
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Persediaan Minyak Mentah Mingguan AS Naik Menjadi 1.539 Juta Barel pada Akhir Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Ibovespa Bangkit Kembali pada Hari Selasa
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    TSX Mengungguli Rekan-rekannya
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Trump Mengisyaratkan Tarif 20–25% pada India di Tengah Pembicaraan Perdagangan yang Sedang Berlangsung
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Dolar NZ Pulih Saat Dolar AS Melemah
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Tingkat Pengangguran Singapura Naik Menjadi 2,1% di Kuartal Kedua
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham di Hong Kong Terus Melemah karena Kekhawatiran Perdagangan dan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Won Korea Selatan Menguat di Tengah Dolar yang Melemah dan Optimisme Perdagangan
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Imbal Hasil 10-Tahun Australia Turun karena Data Inflasi yang Lemah
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Yuan Offshore Stabil saat Pembicaraan AS-Tiongkok Berakhir
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Imbal Hasil 10-Tahun AS Menahan Penurunan Menjelang Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Harga Emas Tetap Dekat Level Terendah 3 Minggu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham China Bervariasi di Tengah Ketidakpastian Perdagangan
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Dolar Australia Bertahan Meski Inflasi Lebih Rendah
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    KOSPI Naik untuk Sesi Keempat seiring Kemajuan Pembicaraan Dagang
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Pertumbuhan Ekspor Filipina Mencapai Titik Tertinggi dalam Lebih dari 1 Tahun
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Defisit Perdagangan Filipina Menyempit pada Bulan Juni
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Tingkat Inflasi Australia Kuartal 2 di Bawah Perkiraan
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Yen Menguat saat Dolar Melemah Menjelang Keputusan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Indeks Harga Konsumen Bulanan Australia Mencapai Titik Terendah dalam Lebih dari 4 Tahun
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Indeks CPI Australia Naik di Kuartal Kedua 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Inflasi Australia Melambat di Kuartal Kedua 2025, CPI Tertimbang Turun ke 2,7%
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Indeks Harga Konsumen Australia Alami Sedikit Perlambatan pada Kuartal Kedua 2025
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Inflasi Australia Melambat pada Juni 2025: Indikator CPI Menurun menjadi 1,90%
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Penurunan Trimmed Mean CPI Australia di Kuartal Kedua 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Inflasi Australia Melambat, CPI Q2 2025 Turun ke 2.1%
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Trimmed Mean CPI Australia Menurun pada Kuartal Kedua 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Penurunan CPI Australia di Kuartal Kedua 2025: Indikator Turun ke 0,7%
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    AS Amerika Serikat Mengizinkan Penjualan Chip Nvidia ke Tiongkok untuk Mempertahankan Keunggulan AI
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Dolar Melemah Menjelang Keputusan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Impor Filipina Naik 10,8% YoY pada Bulan Juni
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Sentimen Bisnis Selandia Baru Mencapai Puncak Tertinggi dalam 3 Bulan
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Harga Produsen Filipina Turun untuk Bulan Kedua
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Harga Minyak Bertahan Dekat Tertinggi 5 Minggu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Penurunan Inflasi Produsen Filipina Berlanjut di Juni 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Defisit Neraca Perdagangan Filipina Memburuk pada Bulan Juni 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Impor Filipina Melonjak di Bulan Juni 2025, Naik Hingga 10.8%
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Ekspor Filipina Meroket Hingga 26,1% di Bulan Juni
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Indikator Aktivitas NBNZ di Selandia Baru Mengalami Penurunan di Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Kepercayaan Bisnis ANZ New Zealand Naik ke 47.8 pada Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    ASX 200 Stabil Menjelang Data Inflasi
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham Jepang Stabil di Tengah Kehati-hatian Pasar
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    IMF Merevisi Naik Perkiraan PDB India Menjadi 6,4% untuk Tahun Fiskal 2026
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Singapura Menjaga Kebijakan Tetap Stabil di Tengah Moderasi Pertumbuhan dan Risiko Tarif
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Futures AS Amerika Serikat Stabil Menjelang Keputusan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    AS-China Pertimbangkan Perpanjangan Gencatan Tarif Menjelang Batas Waktu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham Selandia Baru Lesu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Chile Menurunkan Suku Bunga Sebesar 25 bps
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Tingkat Suku Bunga Chili Turun ke Level 4,75% pada Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Persediaan Minyak Mentah AS Naik Secara Tak Terduga
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Persediaan Minyak Mentah Mingguan AS Naik Menjadi 1.539 Juta Barel pada Akhir Juli 2025
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Ibovespa Bangkit Kembali pada Hari Selasa
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    TSX Mengungguli Rekan-rekannya
    Quick show
  • 2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Trump Mengisyaratkan Tarif 20–25% pada India di Tengah Pembicaraan Perdagangan yang Sedang Berlangsung
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Dolar NZ Pulih Saat Dolar AS Melemah
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Tingkat Pengangguran Singapura Naik Menjadi 2,1% di Kuartal Kedua
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham di Hong Kong Terus Melemah karena Kekhawatiran Perdagangan dan Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Won Korea Selatan Menguat di Tengah Dolar yang Melemah dan Optimisme Perdagangan
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Imbal Hasil 10-Tahun Australia Turun karena Data Inflasi yang Lemah
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Yuan Offshore Stabil saat Pembicaraan AS-Tiongkok Berakhir
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Imbal Hasil 10-Tahun AS Menahan Penurunan Menjelang Fed
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Harga Emas Tetap Dekat Level Terendah 3 Minggu
    Quick show
    2025-07-30 06:09:26
    Saham China Bervariasi di Tengah Ketidakpastian Perdagangan
    Quick show
Berita perusahaan
Semua berita
InstaForex di Traders Fair Philippines 2025

InstaForex di Traders Fair Philippines 2025

Musim semi ini sangat berkesan bagi tim kami: satu acara besar menyusul yang lain saat kami terus memperkuat kehadiran kami di arena keuangan global. Tonggak penting dalam perjalanan ini adalah Traders Fair Philippines 2025, di mana InstaForex berpartisipasi sebagai Sponsor Utama. Traders Fair Philippines adalah salah satu pertemuan puncak keuangan terbesar dan paling bergengsi di Asia Tenggara. Diselenggarakan di Manila pada 24 Mei, acara ini mengumpulkan ribuan trader, investor, broker, dan para pakar fintech dari seluruh wilayah untuk membahas tren, membangun hubungan bisnis, dan memperoleh wawasan terbaru dari para pemimpin industri. Stan kami di M18, berada diantara yang paling sering dikunjungi dan menarik di pameran ini.

Selengkapnya
Karikatur
Seluruh karikatur
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaSpot anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.