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07.06.202411:03 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD. Panoramica, analisi. Prospettive per la coppia USD/CAD

Exchange Rates 07.06.2024 analysis

USD/CAD non riesce ad attrarre acquirenti e rimane all'interno di un range più di un mese fa, mostrando resilienza alla media mobile semplice a 200 ore (SMA), avendo difficoltà ad attrarre acquirenti.

Exchange Rates 07.06.2024 analysis

I trader attendono con impazienza il rilascio dei dati mensili sull'occupazione negli Stati Uniti prima di aprire nuove posizioni direzionali.

Si prevede che NFP – il rapporto sull'occupazione non agricola – mostri che l'economia statunitense ha aggiunto 185.000 posti di lavoro a maggio, rispetto ai precedenti 175.000, e che il tasso di disoccupazione è rimasto stabile al 3,9%.

E parallelamente al reddito orario medio, ciò influenzerà il movimento dell'inflazione e la futura decisione politica della Fed. Di conseguenza, ciò dovrebbe stimolare la domanda del dollaro USA e dare un nuovo slancio direzionale alla coppia USD/CAD.

Sulla base dei dati economici, tra i segnali di rallentamento dell'economia statunitense, gli operatori di mercato stimano che vi sia una forte probabilità che la Federal Reserve avvii un ciclo di tagli dei tassi di interesse a settembre. Inoltre, un aumento positivo dei prezzi del petrolio greggio questa settimana dovrebbe sostenere il dollaro canadese legato alle materie prime e limitare la crescita della coppia USD/CAD.

Nel frattempo, la Banca del Canada ha tagliato il tasso di riferimento per la prima volta in quattro anni dal livello massimo di oltre due anni e ha espresso preoccupazione per il rallentamento della crescita economica. La banca centrale ha anche riconosciuto un miglioramento dell'inflazione core. Di conseguenza, ciò ha aumentato le speculazioni sul prossimo taglio dei tassi a luglio, che potrebbe limitare il potenziale di crescita del dollaro canadese, oltre a fungere da vento favorevole per la coppia USD/CAD.

Il contesto fondamentale contrastato di cui sopra richiede cautela, suggerendo che è più probabile che USD/CAD estenda la sua azione di prezzo all'interno di un range. Ciononostante, i prezzi spot continuano a mostrare una crescita modesta, rimanendo nel range familiare di maggio.

Exchange Rates 07.06.2024 analysis

*La presente analisi del mercato ha un carattere esclusivamente informativo e non rappresenta una guida per l`effettuazione di una transazione.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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