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The Labour Party's resounding victory allows Britain to be seen as a bastion of calm, especially in contrast to France's hung parliament and the prospect of Donald Trump returning to the White House with his protectionist policies and eccentricity. Unsurprisingly, the pound's volatility is at a low level, particularly compared to other significant events for the UK economy.This creates ideal conditions for the pound. The 14-year period of Conservative rule allowed investors to humorously refer to it as the "Great British Peso" – GBP – due to its heightened sensitivity to internal and external shocks. Sterling behaved like the currency of a developing country. Those days are over, giving GBP/USD a confident outlook for the future.Dynamics of the Pound's Volatility
It's amazing how, amid political instability, the pound competed with the US dollar for leadership in the race of the G10 currencies. The main drivers of its rally were the accelerated GDP growth in the first quarter and the Bank of England's cautious approach. If the new government refrains from excessive fiscal stimulus and stabilizes finances, Andrew Bailey and his colleagues will have an excellent opportunity to continue their measured approach.
If the BoE maintains the repo rate at 5.25% in August, the bulls on GBP/USD will have a new reason to attack. Especially since the pound's opponent is weaker than before. The US economy is slowing down, and the Fed is on the brink of discussing monetary policy easing.Technically, on the daily GBP/USD chart, the bulls are ready to restore the upward trend. If they manage to update the June high, the subsidiary pattern AB=CD will be activated. In such conditions, buying the pair towards 1.3010 and 1.3075 makes sense.* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.
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