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There aren't many macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday, but there will be some genuinely significant releases. The most important report will be on inflation in the Eurozone. Yesterday, it was reported that Germany's inflation accelerated to 2%, so today, we can reasonably expect the Eurozone's overall inflation to surpass forecasts. A rise in Eurozone inflation would mean that the European Central Bank could consider a pause in December. If inflation increases in November, the ECB might pause for several meetings. This scenario would support the euro. We don't expect this alone to reignite the two-year uptrend for the euro, but at the very least, it could prompt a correction.
Today's data in the U.S. includes the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, jobless claims, and personal income and spending figures for Americans. We believe these aren't the most critical data points, but the PCE index may still trigger a market reaction.
There's nothing particularly notable among Thursday's fundamental events. Yesterday's inflation report from Germany raised doubts about the ECB cutting rates in December, and today's Eurozone inflation data will provide a clearer picture. No statements are scheduled from either the ECB or the Federal Reserve.
Throughout the penultimate trading day of the week, movements in both currency pairs will depend on the macroeconomic background, making them hard to predict in advance. Eurozone inflation may support the euro, while the pound could again struggle. Only a weaker-than-expected U.S. PCE index could provide some relief to the pound.
Support and Resistance Levels: Levels that serve as targets for opening buys or sells. Take Profit levels can be placed around these areas.
Red Lines: Channels or trend lines that indicate the current trend and the preferred trading direction.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line—an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Major speeches and reports (always found in the news calendar) can significantly impact currency pair movements. Therefore, it's advised to trade cautiously or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp price reversals against prior movements.
Beginners trading on the forex market should remember that not every trade will be profitable. A clear strategy and money management are the keys to success in long-term trading.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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