ہمارے ٹیم میں 7000000 سے ذائد تاجران شامل ہیں
ہم تجارت کی بہتری کے لئے ہر روز اکھٹے کام کرتے ہیں اور بہترین نتائج حاصل کرتے ہوئے آگے کی جانب بڑھتے ہیں
دُنیا بھر سے سے لاکھوں ہمارے بہترین کام کو سند عطاء کرتے ہیں آپ اپنا انتحاب کریں باقی ہم آپ کی توقعات پر پورا اترنے کے لئے اپنی بہترین کوشش کریں گے
ہم مل کر ایک بہترین ٹیم بناتے ہیں
انسٹا فاریکس آپ سے کام کرتے ہوئے فخر محسوس کرتا ہے
ایکٹر - یو سی ایف 6 ٹورنامنٹ چیمپین اور واقعی ہیرو
ایک فرد کے جس نے اپنا آپ منوایا ہے وہ فرد کہ جو ہماری راہ پر چلا ہے.
ٹکٹا روو کی کامیابی کا راز یہ ہے کہ وہ اپنے اہداف کی جانب مسلسل بڑھتا رہتا ہے
اپنے ہنر یا ٹیلنٹ کے تمام پہلو آشکار کررہے ہیں
پہچانیں ، کوشش کریں ، ناکام ہوں لیکن کبھی نہ رُکیں
انسٹا فاریکس آپ کی کامیابی کی کہاں یہاں سے شروع ہوتی ہے
Don't bet against the Federal Reserve. This market principle should be ingrained in traders from the start, but failing to heed it won't lead to big earnings. It seems the markets are playing poker with central banks, and their August maneuvering more closely resembles a bluff. The Bank of Japan took the bait, promising not to raise the overnight rate if market turbulence persists. Will the Fed fall for it? The fate of EUR/USD depends on it.
Dynamics of Fed rates and other central banks
What happened on August 5 has been compared to Black Monday, October 19, 1987. The movements of assets were rapid in both instances, but there are differences between these events. From the beginning of the year until mid-summer, the S&P 500 did not face a significant correction, and investors became fixated on buying tech stocks, selling the Japanese yen, and engaging in carry trading. They were all reversed in August.
The trigger was the BOJ's tightening of monetary policy, which was then exacerbated by fears of an impending recession in the US economy. Now, investors are concerned with one question: Has the panic in the financial markets, including Forex, ended?
The markets are normalizing because of the stabilization of the main currencies involved in carry-trade, like the Japanese yen, Mexican peso, and Australian dollar. JP Morgan believes that about 75% of the transactions in the carry-trade game have been closed. A quarter remains. This does not rule out further shocks, but they are unlikely to be comparable in scale to Black Monday. According to LPL Financial, the drop in Treasury yields and the US dollar's weakness will strengthen the yen, increasing the risks of further unwinding carry-trade.
Diminishing fears allows for the formation of a strategy to sell EUR/USD on its rise. However, deterioration in US macro data, especially in the labor market, calls for adjustments to this strategy. Unsurprisingly, investors are holding their breath, awaiting the release of unemployment benefits claims data. Indeed, before recessions, unemployment rises slowly and then accelerates. The American economy is not yet in a recession, but a downturn is not out of the question.
Unemployment dynamics during recessions in the US
In my opinion, until the release of the US inflation data for July on August 14, the markets will be nervous and erratic, leading to a consolidation of EUR/USD in the range of 1.0865-1.1000. It is not ruled out that quotes will break out of this range and return later.
Technically, on the daily chart, EUR/USD is in a short-term consolidation within the Adam and Eve pattern. The bulls' inability to break through the upper boundary of the fair value range from 1.0815 to 1.0940 indicates their weakness. It provides a basis for forming short positions on the euro against the US dollar, targeting 1.0880 and 1.0865.
*تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں.
InstaSpot analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaSpot client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.
