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05.01.202416:05 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Prognoza dla EUR/USD 5 stycznia 2024 r.

EUR/USD:

Wczorajsze dane o zatrudnieniu w USA, zgodnie z naszymi przewidywaniami, przekroczyły oczekiwania. Według ADP w grudniu w sektorze pozarolniczym utworzono 164 000 miejsc pracy wobec prognoz na poziomie 115 000 i 101 000 w listopadzie. Liczba nowych bezrobotnych również spadła z 220 000 do 202 000 w poprzednim tygodniu (prognoza wynosiła 216 000). Dane te przywróciły optymizm co do dzisiejszego raportu o zatrudnieniu w sektorze pozarolniczym i innych wskaźników bezrobocia. Nawet oczekiwane 170 000 nowych miejsc pracy w sektorze pozarolniczym uważa się za dobrą liczbę.

Exchange Rates 05.01.2024 analysis

W rezultacie Dow Jones wzrósł wczoraj o 0,03%, natomiast S&P 500 spadł o -0,34%. Europejskie giełdy zakończyły jednak dzień wzrostami, a euro wzrosło o 22 pipsy.

Na wykresie dziennym widzimy odwrócenie ceny od linii wskaźnika bilansu i poziomu docelowego 1,0905. Oscylator Marlin rośnie, ale nie opuścił jeszcze obszaru niedźwiedzia. Oczekiwania są ogólnie pozytywne, a cena osiągnie docelowe opory na 1,1033, 1,1076 i 1,1185.

Exchange Rates 05.01.2024 analysis

Na wykresie 4-godzinnym cena rośnie, a oscylator Marlin po odbiciu się od obszaru zaznaczonego na zielono zbliża się do granicy obszaru trendu wzrostowego. Linia MACD jest bardzo blisko poziomu 1,1033, co podkreśla znaczenie tego oporu. Dlatego jego przełamanie mogłoby wydłużyć dynamikę ceny w średnim okresie.

*Prezentowana analiza rynku ma charakter informacyjny i nie jest przewodnikiem po transakcji.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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