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Trading on U.S. stock markets concluded on a positive note on the first working day under the new president.
U.S. stock indexes experienced broad support, driven by increased demand for company shares. This demand was partly fueled by relief over trade measures announced by Donald Trump, which were more moderate than expected. On his first day in office, he proposed a 25% customs tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and a 10% tariff on imports from China, set to take effect on February 1. Unlike his previous campaign rhetoric, Trump did not accompany these proposals with threats; instead, he presented them as routine policy adjustments.
By the end of Tuesday's trading session, the Dow Jones increased by 1.24%, the S&P 500 rose by 0.88%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.64%. Ten out of the eleven sectors within the broad S&P 500 index experienced overall gains. However, Apple shares fell by 3.04 following two analyst downgrades. After the market closed, Oracle shares jumped by 4% after Trump announced investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure that involve the company. Additionally, Netflix and United Airlines showed significant growth in the post-market session, rising by 14.40% and 4.62%, respectively, due to strong quarterly results.
Recent developments suggest that investors are optimistic about the beginning of Trump's presidency and expect the continuation of the previous market rally. This optimism is driven not only by the economic policies he outlined during his campaign, which significantly differ from those of the Biden administration, but also by the actual implementation of these policies. Additionally, the market has responded positively to the new trade restrictions imposed on Canada, Mexico, and China. Interestingly, the 10% customs tariff on China, rather than the previously suggested 25%, is seen as a sign of a softer stance compared to earlier proposals.
I believe the market will improve. First, there is potential for growth, with recent highs within reach in the short term. Second, the U.S. economy is outperforming its competitor, Europe, which will likely continue to attract capital inflows into American markets, sustaining demand for local assets. Any potential economic conflict between Europe and the U.S. would only accelerate this trend.
Regarding today's market outlook, U.S. futures suggest a likely positive opening.
Gold prices are again supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Trump's promises to increase tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. In this context, prices may continue to rise, with a break above $2,752.00 potentially leading to a test of the recent high at $2,789.00.
The CFD contract for NASDAQ 100 futures is expected to benefit from increasing demand for technology sector stocks. Consistent trading above 21,629.20 may lead to further growth toward 22,128.50.
*Prezentowana analiza rynku ma charakter informacyjny i nie jest przewodnikiem po transakcji.
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