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20.01.202514:23 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD: Analiză și Prognoză

Exchange Rates 20.01.2025 analysis

Perechea USD/CAD s-a retras ușor după ce a atins cel mai înalt nivel din martie 2020 în timpul sesiunii asiatice de luni, pe fondul unui dolar american ușor mai slab.

Exchange Rates 20.01.2025 analysis

Cu toate acestea, această retragere nu este însoțită de un sentiment bearish semnificativ sau de un impuls descendent susținut.

Factori cheie:

  • Influența dolarului american: Inflația mai scăzută în SUA crește probabilitatea ca Federal Reserve să reducă dobânzile de două ori anul acesta, ceea ce a limitat capacitatea dolarului de a profita de mișcarea pozitivă de vineri. În plus, tonul pozitiv general al piețelor de acțiuni influențează negativ activele de refugiu, inclusiv perechea USD/CAD.
  • Așteptările față de politica SUA: Investitorii iau în considerare și potențialul ca politicile protecționiste ale noului președinte american Donald Trump să conducă la o creștere a inflației, ceea ce ar putea determina o abordare mai agresivă din partea Federal Reserve. Aceasta solicită precauție pentru traderii bearish care țintesc dolarul american.
  • Prețurile petrolului și impactul asupra CAD: Relaxarea tensiunilor din Orientul Mijlociu și așteptările că Trump ar putea relaxa sancțiunile împotriva Rusiei în schimbul unui acord pentru încheierea războiului din Ucraina ajută la atenuarea temerilor privind perturbările de aprovizionare, exercitând presiune descendentă asupra prețurilor la țiței. Acest lucru ar putea slăbi dolarul canadian legat de mărfuri și ar putea limita declinurile USD/CAD.

Perspective de tranzacționare:

Pentru a identifica oportunități mai bune de tranzacționare, ar fi prudent să așteptați discursul inaugural al lui Trump și acțiunea ulterioară a prețului înainte de a lua decizii privind pierderi mai profunde.

Analiza tehnică:

Dintr-o perspectivă tehnică, oscilatorii de pe graficul zilnic rămân confortabil în teritoriu pozitiv, sugerând că calea de rezistență minimă pentru pereche este în sus. Orice scăderi sunt probabil limitate la zona 1.4430.

*Analiza de piață publicată aici este menită să vă sporească conștientizarea, nu pentru a oferi instrucțiuni pentru a efectua un schimb.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
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