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Plenty of macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, all coming from the U.S.; each is highly significant. The market will review reports on Non-Farm Payrolls, the unemployment rate, changes in average wages, and the ISM Manufacturing Index. There's no need to stress the importance of the Non-Farm and unemployment reports. These have become some of the most critical data points for the market and the Federal Reserve. Since U.S. inflation has decelerated less than expected, with the PCE index not slowing at all, the unemployment rate and the labor market will now determine the Fed's next moves. Strong data could allow the Fed to reduce the key rate by 0.25%, with potential pauses in between. Weak data, however, would necessitate labor market support, and the Fed might even consider an additional 0.5% rate cut.
No noteworthy fundamental events are scheduled for Friday, but given the abundance of macroeconomic events, the market will be entirely focused on them.
On the final trading day of the week, the movements of both currency pairs will depend on the macroeconomic context, making them difficult to predict in advance. The euro has found some support from the Eurozone this week, while the pound has not. But today, both pairs are likely to move similarly, as their directions will be influenced primarily by U.S. news.
Support and Resistance Levels: Levels that serve as targets for opening buys or sells. Take Profit levels can be placed around these areas.
Red Lines: Channels or trend lines that indicate the current trend and the preferred trading direction.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): Histogram and signal line—an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Major speeches and reports (always found in the news calendar) can significantly impact currency pair movements. Therefore, it's advised to trade cautiously or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp price reversals against prior movements.
Beginners trading on the forex market should remember that not every trade will be profitable. A clear strategy and money management are the keys to success in long-term trading.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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