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Only a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Monday, which marks the start of the first week of a new month. The U.S. will release numerous reports on business activity, the labor market, and unemployment—key data points. Today, we will see only the ISM Manufacturing PMI in the U.S., which will kick off the lineup of critical reports. The second estimate of November's Manufacturing PMIs will be published in the Eurozone, Germany, and the UK. Additionally, the Eurozone will release its unemployment rate. However, we consider all reports, except the ISM PMI, to be secondary in importance.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's speech stands out among Monday's fundamental events. We don't expect any significant statements from her, but last Friday's Eurozone inflation report could prompt some comments. As a reminder, the ECB's final meeting of the year will take place in December, where interest rates could be cut by as much as 0.5%, a decidedly dovish move. While we doubt the ECB will take this step, Lagarde might give the market a clearer idea of what to expect.
Both currency pairs are likely to move during the first trading day of the week in response to fundamental and macroeconomic developments. The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI will impact both pairs, while Lagarde's speech is significant for the euro.
Support and Resistance Levels: Targets for opening buy or sell orders. These are ideal points for setting Take Profit levels.
Red Lines: Trendlines or channels reflecting the current trend direction and indicating the preferred trading direction.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line serving as auxiliary indicators and sources of signals.
Key News Events and Reports: Always listed in the economic calendar, these can significantly impact currency pair movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during such events to avoid sharp price reversals.
Every trade cannot be profitable. The key to long-term success in Forex trading lies in developing a clear strategy and effective money management.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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