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The test of the 1.0547 level coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to rise from the zero mark, confirming the validity of the entry point for buying with expectations of further euro growth. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points, reaching the target level of 1.0581.
For the second half of the day, not much of interest is expected. Wholesale inventory levels in the U.S. are traditionally considered an indicator of economic activity. However, many experts now believe this figure has lost its significance. Given stable consumer demand and predictable production dynamics, changes in inventory volumes are unlikely to significantly influence the forex market. Still, the habit of monitoring inventory changes persists, with some traders viewing it as a risk factor. That said, reliance on outdated data is fading, with more attention shifting to current information sources.
As for the intraday strategy, I will primarily focus on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2 to continue the euro's upward momentum.
Scenario #1:Buy the euro when the price reaches 1.0587 (green line on the chart) with a target of 1.0620. At 1.0620, plan to exit the market and sell the euro in the opposite direction, expecting a movement of 30–35 points from the entry point. A strong euro rally is unlikely today, but another push toward the weekly high cannot be ruled out.Important: Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just starting to rise.
Scenario #2:I also plan to buy the euro in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.0562 level when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This would limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward reversal. Growth can be expected toward the 1.0587 and 1.0620 levels.
Scenario #1:I plan to sell the euro after the price reaches 1.0562 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.0537, where I will exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25-point movement in the opposite direction. Selling pressure will likely return if there is no buyer activity near the daily high.Important: Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting to decline.
Scenario #2:I also plan to sell the euro in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.0587 level when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This would limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal. A decline can be expected toward the 1.0562 and 1.0537 levels.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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