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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Euro
The test of the 1.0295 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had moved significantly downward from the zero level, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I refrained from selling the euro and was correct. Strong data hindered the pair's downward momentum in the first half of the day.
Economic data from Germany exceeded economists' forecasts, briefly renewing demand for the euro. However, this momentum may be short-lived, given the upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve representatives, which market participants will follow closely. Statements from FOMC members could significantly influence expectations for future monetary policy. If Harker, Barkin, and Bowman confirm that the Fed has no plans to ease policy soon, this could strengthen the dollar, resuming the EUR/USD downtrend. Persistent inflation and robust employment data already suggest that rates may remain high longer than anticipated. A continued hawkish tone from the Fed, coupled with the ECB's discussions about potential rate cuts, could further widen the policy divergence between the two central banks, potentially weakening the euro against the dollar.
Investors will also assess the durability of the US economy in the face of high-interest rates.
The focus will be on the execution of Scenarios #1 and #2.
Important Notes
Beginner traders in the Forex market must exercise caution when making entry decisions. Before the release of significant fundamental reports, it's best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If trading during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you could quickly lose your entire deposit, especially when trading large volumes without proper money management.
For successful trading, a clear trading plan, like the one outlined above, is essential. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.